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  Apr 24 2012, 10:41 AM
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#1
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 Zips Junkie  Group: Moderators Posts: 6279 Joined: 23-February 04 From: The Burg Member No.: 5  |
Article by Andy Staples of SI
If Peter King picked the first round correctly in his Mock Draft last week, nearly half of this year's newest crop of millionaires will have played high above recruitniks' predictions. Fifteen of the 32 players in King's Mock rated three stars or fewer out of high school, meaning evaluators felt they would, at best, be solid contributors at the FBS level. So how did the recruitniks misjudge so many players so badly? They didn't. They misjudged a few players, which is to be expected when trying to project how 17-year-olds will fare as 20-year-olds. After last year's draft, writer Matt Hinton broke down the numbers, and they backed up the star ranking system's relative reliability as a predictor of success in college and beyond. If 15 of 32 earning three stars or fewer sounds like a lot, consider the fact that from 2003-08, Rivals.com ranked 208 players as five-stars, 1,807 players as four-stars and 13,862 as a three-star or lower. In other words, two- and three-star players made up 87.3 percent of the players Rivals ranked during that period. Meanwhile, four- and five-stars -- of which King's Mock included 17 -- made up only 12.7 percent of the players ranked during that period. So, if the numbers hold, 53 percent of the first-rounders will come from the top eighth of the recruits. --------------------  "One original thought is worth a thousand mindless quotings"--Diogenes of Sinope |
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Apr 24 2012, 04:59 PM
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#2
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Zips Junkie Group: Members Posts: 1289 Joined: 9-May 10 Member No.: 5578 |
What does a 4 star recruit mean?
that the guy isn't going to be playing for the Zips... -------------------- It's okay....we'll be better next year
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Apr 25 2012, 07:15 AM
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#3
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Zips Junkie Group: Moderators Posts: 6279 Joined: 23-February 04 From: The Burg Member No.: 5 |
QUOTE(akzipper @ Apr 24 2012, 05:59 PM)  What does a 4 star recruit mean? The guy isn't going to be playing for the Zips. Thomas Plummer, Nate Robinson, and Ryan Bain were all four star recruits that played for the Zips. Starting to see the point of Andy's article?-------------------- "One original thought is worth a thousand mindless quotings"--Diogenes of Sinope |
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Apr 25 2012, 08:34 AM
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#4
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 Zips Junkie Group: Members Posts: 5494 Joined: 28-September 06 From: Canal Fulton, OH Member No.: 619 |
QUOTE(Dr Z @ Apr 25 2012, 08:15 AM) Thomas Plummer, Nate Robinson, and Ryan Bain were all four star recruits that played for the Zips. Starting to see the point of Andy's article? Nate was even a FIVE star and per either scout or rivals (forget which right now) the NUMBER ONE RATED DEFENSIVE LINEMEN IN THE ENTIRE COUNTRY! -------------------- "Build it, and they can't tear it down.......not for a good 15-20 years anyway."
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Apr 25 2012, 08:48 AM
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#5
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 UA Intramural Legend Group: Moderators Posts: 7887 Joined: 23-February 04 From: McDonald Ohio Member No.: 3 |
David Harvey was also 4- or 5-star. DeVoe Torrence was 4-star.
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Apr 29 2012, 06:00 PM
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#6
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 Zips Junkie Group: Members Posts: 3351 Joined: 25-February 04 From: Honolulu, Hawai'i nei Member No.: 32 |
QUOTE(Dr Z @ Apr 25 2012, 02:15 AM) Thomas Plummer, Nate Robinson, and Ryan Bain were all four star recruits that played for the Zips. Starting to see the point of Andy's article? Ryan Bain played for the Zips?? Sorry, guess I blinked on that play.  Or my eyes were obscured by the rain, so I could not see Ryan Bain.
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Apr 29 2012, 07:24 PM
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#7
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Zips Junkie Group: Members Posts: 1289 Joined: 9-May 10 Member No.: 5578 |
QUOTE(Z.I.P. @ Apr 29 2012, 07:00 PM) Ryan Bain played for the Zips?? Sorry, guess I blinked on that play. Or my eyes were obscured by the rain, so I could not see Ryan Bain.I didn't know Nate Robinson played for the Zips either?  I thought KD would have recruited him for basketball? -------------------- It's okay....we'll be better next year
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Lo-Fi Version | Time is now: 24th May 2013 - 05:13 AM |
