In the "Worth a Long Look" section:
No. 15 Akron (15.9 Giant Killer score, on a 100-point scale) vs. No. 2 Notre Dame (50.9 Vulnerability score)
UPSET CHANCE: 14.1 percent
Insert your own Zips joke here, but Notre Dame bears cringe-worthy similarities to past teams that have slipped up early. Only eight squads in the country forced fewer turnovers on a per-possession basis than the Fighting Irish. And they don't just struggle to guard the deep ball (opponents shoot 35 percent from long range); they're also getting smashed under the basket, scoring 1.62 fewer points per 100 possessions than opponents on 2-pointers. While that's all enough to get our model worried, however, Akron doesn't have the look of a classic Killer. The Zips are poor offensive rebounders (ORs on just 28.6 percent of misses, ranking 288th in the NCAA) and don't force many turnovers, so they can't generate the extra possessions that fuel most upsets. They do shoot it well from long-distance, generating 33.8 percent of their offense from 3-pointers. But they just don't have much else to fall back on against the Irish. The deep shot will have to carry Akron if they want to take advantage of a prime opportunity against a team waiting to be ... Zipped.