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The Magic Number is 2 - or less


akronzips71

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I am not good at Common Core, but there are 5 games remaining.

If we win two, we can only have 4 losses. That locks up the NIT, #1 seed, and MAC season championship.

 

BUT, we play Buffalo. If we beat them, they have at least 6 losses and we could only have 5, so that eliminates them. And if OU loses one game in that scenario, they are eliminated. In any case, Buffalo and OU still play each other, meaning one of them MUST have 6 losses. That means that ONE win gets us to at least a tie breaker for #1. With our only loss being to OU, that makes it interesting.

 

But any combination of one win over Buffalo and BU over OU locks it up, or we can do it on Tuesday with two wins.

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Up 4 with 5 games to play. 

Buffalo and OU (both 4 games back) are the only teams that can mathematically catch us.  Everyone else is 6 games back, or more.  

 

One more Akron win guarantees a tie.

Two more Akron wins guarantees outright Regular Season Title.  

 

I don't think we need to look at any other scenarios.  I think we have near insurmountable odds of winning at least 2 of our last 5 games.  

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