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Balsy

Race To Detroit 2018

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Now that OOC play is done for the Zips here's a look at the 2018 Race To Detroit.  I will do my best to keep this updated week-to-week and in the proper order based on head-to-head and with remaining game.  Since MAC Scores matter most they will be first and overall will be in parenthesis.

MAC EAST

 

Frontrunner:

 

Buffalo 4-0 (7-1):  Miami, Kent, Ohio, BGSU

 

Still in the Hunt:

 

Miami 3-1 (3-5):  Buffalo, Ohio, NIU, Ball St.

Ohio 2-1 (4-3):  Ball St., WMU, Miami, Buffalo, AKRON

AKRON 1-2 (3-3):  CMU, NIU, EMU, BGSU, Ohio

 

Eliminated:

 

Kent State 0-4 (1-7):   BGSU, Buffalo, Toledo, EMU

Bowling Green 0-4 (1-7):  Kent, CMU, AKRON, Buffalo, 

 

MAC WEST

 

Frontrunner:

 

W. Michigan 4-0 (6-2):  Toledo, Ohio, Ball St., NIU

N. Illinois 3-0 (3-3)

 

Still in the Hunt:

 

E. Michigan 2-3 (4-4):  Ball St., CMU, Akron, Kent

Ball St 2-2 (3-5): Ohio, Toledo, WMU, Miami

Toledo 1-2 (3-4):  Buffalo, WMU, Ball St., NIU, Kent

 

Eliminated:

 

C. Michigan 0-4 (1-7):  AKRON, EMU, BGSU, Toledo

 

Edited by Balsy
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No major changes; NIU is technically still the front runner in the MAC West by virtue of having 3 MAC games already and winning them all.  Eastern is effectively eliminated barring a miracle, they will be statistically eliminated soon.

 

For the Zips...they HAVE to win this week against buffalo, or they basically will have to go undefeated and get some help from other teams.  I'm not holding my breath.

Edited by Balsy
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The list is updated for this weekend's games.  Buffalo still holds the lead...that is until they play the Zips this weekend.  NIU is still in the lead in the West by virtue of having more MAC games than Toledo.  This week is make-or-break week for the bottom rung of both divisions.  4 MAC losses is a guaranteed elimination, 3-losses is pretty much as well.


EMU is on the verge of elimination; as is Kent, BGSU and CMU.  Luckily for the Zips, if they can make it through Buffalo, they've got a trek of mostly teams that will have been eliminated from contention.

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With Buffalo beating Miami last night it looks like Buffalo is favorite to represent the East in the MACC.  Buffalo has Kent, Ohio & BGSU left.  The Ohio game has meaning since Ohio only has one loss as of now but Ohio has WMU, Miami, Buffalo & Akron left & a much harder path.

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East Division Clinching Scenarios:
Buffalo—Buffalo win at BGSU (11/23) or Ohio loss vs. Akron (11/23)

 

Ohio—Ohio win vs. Akron (11/23) and Buffalo loss at BGSU (11/23) and Miami loss vs. Ball State (11/20)

 

Miami—Miami win vs. Ball State (11/20) and Ohio win vs. Akron (11/23) and Buffalo loss at BGSU (11/23)

This would create a three-way tie with Buffalo, Miami and Ohio all at 6-2. All are 1-1 in head-to-head among the three teams (Buffalo beat Miami/lost to Ohio; Miami beat Ohio/lost to Buffalo; Ohio beat Buffalo/lost to Miami); All three beat Akron;  All three beat Kent State; With BGSU, Buffalo would have lost to BGSU and both Miami and Ohio beat BGSU; the tiebreaker comes to Ohio and Miami – as Miami defeated Ohio on Nov. 7, 30-28.

 

West Division:

Northern Illinois (6-1) clinched

 

stand.jpg

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So the best we can be is 4th East, but need to win somewhere to avoid dropp8ng below Portage Community College.  Weren’t we picked 4th in pre-season?  So let’s win Saturday and in Athens and make it a solid 4th.  (Can’t believe I actually would be satisfied with that, but what the heck?)

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Unsure if it means there is no turning back, but Tyree Jackson is in the new NCAA transfer portal. @Cykron's relative may be playing sooner than thought.

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Made for some very interesting conversations during our holiday visit with the in-laws.  ;)

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