Most likely upset by seed line based on win probabilities at https://t.co/cegyfz96ax:

16 v 1 - Longwood (3.5%) over Houston
15 v 2 - W Kentucky (11%) over Marquette
14 v 3 - Akron (12%) over Creighton
13 v 4 - Samford (27%) over Kansas
12 v 5 - James Madison (42%) over Wisconsin…

— Evan Miyakawa (@EvanMiya) March 19, 2024