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Bracketology Updates


Dave in Green

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Another thing to keep in mind when we start discussing the odds of an at-large bid in the future: One odd decision by the NCAA selection committee was including Middle Tennessee, which must have given a lot of indigestion to Jerry Palm:

Palm believed that Middle Tennessee was not going to make the bracket this season because the Blue Raiders had only one Top 100 RPI win.

In the 20 years that Palm has studied the brackets, no team had ever gotten in with fewer than three wins against the RPI Top 100.

"But you never know; they could always go outside their usual standards," he said.

Obviously, the committee did just that, and Middle Tennessee was one of the final four in. That was the one team Palm got wrong this season.

Actually, MTSU ended up with a second top 100 win after UCF squeaked in with a #97 RPI late in the season. Along with #48 Mississippi, those were MTSU's only 2 top 100 wins. But the selection committee broke new ground by saying that MTSU had a good road record. Well, they did. But it was mostly against 113-301 RPI teams. Go figure.

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