MAC Hoops standings / how this mess will sort out

[KingZip]

Saturday's Results:

Can't – 73

Akron – 68

Ohio – 83

Marshall – 62

WMU – 73

EMU – 63

Toledo – 68

CMU – 44

Current Standings

 

1) Miami 11-4

2) WMU 10-6

3) Can't St. 10-6 (3-2 vs. Akron, Buffalo, Ohio) (2-0 vs. Akron)

4) Akron 10-6 (3-2 vs. Buffalo, Ohio, Can't) (0-2 vs. Can't)

5) Ohio 10-6 (2-2 vs. Akron, Buffalo, Can't)

6) Buffalo 10-6 (1-3 vs. Akron, Ohio, Can't)

7) BGSU 9-6

8) Toledo 9-7

9) Ball State 8-7

10) NIU 6-10

11) EMU 5-11

12) CMU 3-14

13) Marshall 2-14

Remaining matchups:

Sunday: Miami @ BGSU, Ball St. @ NIU

Wednesday: Marshall @ Akron, BGSU @ WMU, Ball St. @ EMU, Can't @ Miami, Buffalo @ Ohio, Toledo @ NIU

Saturday: WMU @ Ball St., EMU @ Toledo, CMU @ BGSU, Akron @ Buffalo, Miami @ Marshall, Ohio @ Can't

MAC Golf Standings: (road wins are birdies, home losses are bogeys, road losses and home wins are pars)

East (-5)

1. Miami -3

2. Akron -2

-- Buffalo -2

-- Can't St -2

-- Ohio -2

6. Marshall +5

West (+5)

1. BG -2

-- WMU -2

3. UT -1

4. BSU Even

5. NIU +1

6. EMU +3

7. CMU +5

Here's how I believe the 8-way tie would work out (assuming teams finish the way I'd expect...a huge IF):

Toledo would win the 4-way tie for the West, due to only playing WMU once and winning. That would remove them from the logjam, making it a 7-way tie. The 7-way tie would be broken based on each team's record vs. the other 6 11-7 teams:

3) BSU 5-3

4) WMU 5-4

5) Akron 5-4

6) Ohio 5-5

7) BGSU 4-5

8) Can't 4-5

9) Buffalo 4-6

That would be a really rough break for Buffalo, and a monumental jump for Ball St. Of course, that's all assuming I'm right about Toledo winning a 4-way tie for the West, and then being removed from the rest of the pack for further tie-breaking purposes.

Regardless, NIU can do all the current 2-8 teams a big favor by knocking off the Cardinals in DeKalb.

However, if Ball State were to finish 11-7 it would mean they beat Western twice, going 4-2 against Tol, BG, and Western.  They would get the #2 seed, and if my talley marks are right it taking them out of the equation:

2 BSU

3 Ohio

4 WMU

5 Akron

6 Toledo

7 BG

8 Can't

9 Buff

And of course one road win by someone messes it all up.

[Z-Pouch]

Good post (even for a Miami guy) -- What a mess this has become

I'm sure the Buffalo fans love the possibility of playing IN Can't for the 1st round -- I'd take bets that they will want to know who the referees are prior to game day and background checks completed. It would be a classic follow up to the Alumni Referees debacle earlier @Can't. I'd also guess they would be loading up the buses with fans.

The Zips chances of staying out of the 8-9 game look pretty good due to tiebreakers. As you mentioned with Buffalo, the 8-9 game is tough and one of the good teams will have to be on the road. Noone wants that spot.

[KingZip]

Men's Basketball - Mid-American (2004-2005)

Conf. RPI Rank: 9    Conf. SOS Rank: 10

Only games against Division I opponents are counted.

Rankings update every 5 mins.

Last updated - Sun Feb 27 06:24:34 PST 2005

Mid-American Conf All RPI Rk RPI SOS Rk SOS

East Division

Miami (OH) 11-4   16-7 21   0.5960 59  0.5400

Akron 10-6   16-8 38   0.5723 90  0.5270

Buffalo 10-6   18-7 41   0.5718 129  0.5131

Can't St. 10-6   16-10 46   0.5678 70  0.5349

Ohio 10-6   16-9 71   0.5524 136  0.5120

Marshall 2-14   5-20 226   0.4660 29  0.5568

West Division

Bowling Green 9-6   15-8 88   0.5423 187  0.4954

Ball St. 8-7   12-11 90   0.5401 44  0.5481

West. Michigan 10-6   16-10 93   0.5383 159  0.5030

Toledo 9-7   13-12 99   0.5371 65  0.5372

Northern Illinois 6-10   10-15 173   0.4972 100  0.5215

Cent. Michigan 3-14   7-17 259   0.4527 95  0.5234

East. Michigan 5-11   10-15 262   0.4523 248  0.4751