g-mann17 Posted February 23, 2012 Report Share Posted February 23, 2012 Just did some quick checking to see what would happen if we did end up tied with anyone. We would not get the number 1 seed no matter what. UA ties only Buffalo: Buffalo the 1 seed based on a 2-0 record against the Zips. UA ties only OU: OU the one seed based on a better record against whomever comes in third (OU is 2-0 vs Buffalo, and would be 2-0 vs Can't, Akron would be 1-1 against Can't and 0-2 against Buffalo) UA ties only Can't: Can't would get the #1 seed and UA the #2. They would be 1-1 against each other so it would drop back to the best record against the next best seed. Can't would be 1-1 against Buffalo and UA would be 0-2. Can't would be 1-1 against OU and UA would also be 1-1, so it would revert to the best record against Buffalo. UA ties Buffalo and OU: OU would be the one seed, Buffalo the two and Akron the 3 (Against each other, OU would be 3-1, Buffalo would be 2-2 and Akron would be 1-3). UA ties Buffalo and Cant: Buffalo would be the one seed, Can't the two and Akron the three: Record against each other. Buffalo would be 3-1, Can't 2-2 and Akron 1-3. The Zips must win one of the last three games to get the one seed. There is some outside chance that BGSU or EMU (or even WMU) could factor in to all of this but I considered those chances to be small enough not to consider. That's a lot of work you did there. They win Sunday and none of that matters. In fact there is better than a 33% chance that tie breakers won't matter. Why better than a 33% chance? Because statistically home teams have a better shot of winning then road teams, and we have a home game left against a Buffalo team that is tiring out. Bottom line...We have to win all three games. Why? Because giving each of those teams an additional loss gives us a psychological advantage in the MAC Tournament. We enter with every team knowing we own the tournament, it would be much nicer if all but one team in the tournament also knew we owned them completely during the season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skip-zip Posted February 24, 2012 Report Share Posted February 24, 2012 Assuming that we very likely will find a way to win at least one of the next 3 games, and wrap up that #1 Seed, there's only one thing left for us to root for: Who do we want to be the #4 (our semifinal opponent)? I think that will depend on what we see out of Ken+, OU and Buffalo this coming week. Or, could we possibly get lucky enough that someone else can sneak in there for that #4 spot? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UAZip0510 Posted February 27, 2012 Author Report Share Posted February 27, 2012 I hate to say it, but I'll be cheering for Can't against OU. If OU falls to a #3 or #4 seed, it gives them one more opportunity to slip up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
akronzips71 Posted February 27, 2012 Report Share Posted February 27, 2012 I hate to say it, but I'll be cheering for Can't against OU. If OU falls to a #3 or #4 seed, it gives them one more opportunity to slip up. WE have to root for Can't. The magic number of one dominates. Can't beats OU, they are eliminated. Is it possible we could back in? Don't want to, but I would still take it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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