Bleacher Bum Posted December 15, 2006 Report Share Posted December 15, 2006 There is no spread posted yet for any of the games tomorrow, but here's the link to covers.com's matchup. It certainly looks winnable. I was excited to see that Akron is 6-2 in their last 8 games on a Saturday, but UIC is apparently 12-4-1 in their last 17 Saturday games. I love sports bettors and their crazy stats. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZachTheZip Posted December 15, 2006 Report Share Posted December 15, 2006 If the earlier games this season are any indication, there will be no official line on the game.You would have to look at different stats and other factors to accurately predict who will win tommorow and by how much. The most accurate system is the Sagarin Ratings because they account for margin of victory, while other rating systems do not.Acording to Sagarin Akron is ranked #90, with a PREDICTOR of 74.UIC is ranked #144 with a PREDICTOR of 145.Since the game is at UIC, they automatically get 4.27 points for home-court advantage. That means that the raw line would have Akron win by about 50 points. Adjusted, the line is at Akron -13. This is just using Sagarin's ratings. There are other methods of creating a line as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Hip Zip Posted December 15, 2006 Report Share Posted December 15, 2006 If the earlier games this season are any indication, there will be no official line on the game.You would have to look at different stats and other factors to accurately predict who will win tommorow and by how much. The most accurate system is the Sagarin Ratings because they account for margin of victory, while other rating systems do not.Acording to Sagarin Akron is ranked #90, with a PREDICTOR of 74.UIC is ranked #144 with a PREDICTOR of 145.Since the game is at UIC, they automatically get 4.27 points for home-court advantage. That means that the raw line would have Akron win by about 50 points. Adjusted, the line is at Akron -13. This is just using Sagarin's ratings. There are other methods of creating a line as well. There will be a line on this game. All horizon and mac schools will always be lined when playing div. 1 competition. I'm not sure what ratings you use but I can assure you that no reputable power ratings would rate Akron as a 50 point favorite against anybody under any parameters. The line will be released early tonight, and if I were making the line I would make Akron a 1-3 pt favorite.The Flames are a dangerous opponent and this a tough spot on the schedule for the Zips, especially off the layoff. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Hip Zip Posted December 15, 2006 Report Share Posted December 15, 2006 The above should have read "All horizon and mac schools will always be lined when playing div. 1 competition with the exception of opponents from a hand full of minor conferences and some independents. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bleacher Bum Posted December 15, 2006 Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2006 No spread yet, but the over/under is at 144. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowdyZip Posted December 15, 2006 Report Share Posted December 15, 2006 6pm...according to www.vegas.com the Zips are the underdog. No point line listed yet, but UIC listed as favorite with a total money line of -110. Hmmm...looks like it'll be UIC (-2 to -4) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Hip Zip Posted December 15, 2006 Report Share Posted December 15, 2006 hmmmm, under 144 is worth a look, The Zips offensive numbers have been inflated by some inferior competition, but their defense is very good. I also watched UIC play Illinois last week and they can throw down a little D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bleacher Bum Posted December 15, 2006 Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2006 Pinnacle Sports started putting up lines for tomorrow. It should be up soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bleacher Bum Posted December 15, 2006 Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2006 Pinny's got it even. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Hip Zip Posted December 16, 2006 Report Share Posted December 16, 2006 Pinny's got it even. Anybody who refers to rhe Pinnacle sports book as "Pinny" gets my respect as a seasoned veteran of the wagering wars. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowdyZip Posted December 16, 2006 Report Share Posted December 16, 2006 Caesars has Akron (-1) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bleacher Bum Posted December 16, 2006 Author Report Share Posted December 16, 2006 Pinnacle has moved to Akron +1. It looks like most other books are still even. Go Zips! It's my mom's birthday, so I'm gonna have to be getting updates on my phone. Anyone remember that episode of Home Improvement where Tim and Jill went out to a fancy restaurant for dinner and he was listening to the Lions game on a portable radio? It's gonna be kinda like that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ziptrumpet87 Posted December 16, 2006 Report Share Posted December 16, 2006 It's a home game for Ced... Zips roll! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bleacher Bum Posted December 16, 2006 Author Report Share Posted December 16, 2006 The Zips are now a 1.5 point favorite. Looks like some bettors got faith in the Blue and Gold! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZippyMania Posted December 16, 2006 Report Share Posted December 16, 2006 Pulling for Akron but I would take the points and UIC. Rough place to play. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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