Chances On Winning MAC Tourney

[mollautt]

=>I based the following on a spreadsheet formula as well as my "subjective" predictions on the % chance any one MAC team would be any other MAC team. The number in parenthesis was the numbers I had before the first round games last night.<b><u>% Chance of Reaching Semifinals</b></u> 1. Can't: 80% (was 82.5%) 8. Buffalo: 20% (was 15%) 4. Miami: 80% (was 80.75%) 5. Ohio U.: 20% (was 19%) 2. NIU: 55% (was 57.25%) 7. Toledo: 45% (was 38.25%) 3. Akron: 75% (was 77.25%) 6. WMU: 25% (was 21.25%) <b><u>% Chance of Reaching Finals</b></u> 1. Can't: 54.4% (was 56.04%) 8. Buffalo: 6% (was 4.49%) 4. Miami: 34.4% (was 33.92%) 5. Ohio U.: 5.2% (was 4.89%) 2. NIU: 19.25% (was 19.69%) 7. Toledo: 14.06% (was 11.91%) 3. Akron: 56.25% (was 58.46%) 6. WMU: 10.44% (was 8.94%) <b><u>% Chance of Winning MAC Tourney</b></u> 1. Can't: 35.87% (was 37.36%) 8. Buffalo: 1.86% (was 1.42%) 4. Miami: 19.42% (was 19.37%) 5. Ohio U.: 3.4% (was 3.3%) 2. NIU: 5.21% (was 5.26%) 7. Toledo: 3.81% (was 3.18%) 3. Akron: 27.7% (was 28.67%) 6. WMU: 2.73% (was 2.3%)http://www.ncaabbs.com/forums/mac/phpbb/vi...pic.php?t=31845

[Captain Kangaroo]

Generally speaking, Akron, Can't and Miami are equal. Can't and Miami might have a slight edge over the Zips because they've actually played in the championship before. OU has a puncher's chance to win it all...and everyone else's participation is just a formality.

[Z-Pouch]

I also give Buffalo a slight chance. You never know which Buffalo team is going to show up. They have potential to pull an upset and have some Q experiance from last year. Not to mention, some motivation after tip in loss in the finals.Thursday's night session should be a couple of good games.