tolbob Posted 1 hour ago Report Posted 1 hour ago Can someone explain the "Luck" calculation on KenPom? Zips are negative .268, which apparently means unluckier than average. I can think of a few factors that might affect the luck calculation: Opponents foul shooting percentage. Not much defense involved in foul shooting, so in a game like Yale when the opponent shoots much higher than their average, you had bad luck. Maybe the pressure of a tight game, etc. affects foul shooting, but mostly luck. 3 Point shooting also has a bit of luck involved. Most 3-point shots are not taken unless they are open shots. A good defense may force a few time clock beater shots, but not most. If a team shoots 56% on threes, when they typically shoot around 40%, some of that could be bad defense, but also could be just bad luck. Maybe playing against a team with an injured player is considered good luck. Is this a factor? Or playing without a player who is injured on your team is considered bad luck? Anything else? I do not subscribe to KenPom so maybe subscribers have the answer (or maybe it is just a secret algorithm). Quote Quote
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