That makes sense. Thanks for sharing.
However, I find the WAB metric to be highly unreliable because if Miami had our schedule (played at Purdue, vs. Yale, vs. Murray State, at Troy, and at our place), they'd have at least 3-4 losses, and they would not be anywhere near the bubble. Conversely, if we had their schedule, we'd have one loss or less as well.
All I get out of that is that it is highly beneficial to schedule as weak of an OOC schedule as possible to rack up wins and then buckle down in the MAC part of the schedule.