How to Predict MAC Tournament Seeding by Rasor

[Dave in Green]

Under the category of It's Never Too Early ......Rasor Link

[infofan]

Under the category of It's Never Too Early ......Rasor Link

Note that Mike Rasor predicts BG to beat Can't at BG but Akron to lose to Can't at Akron. I wont disagree that Can't will finish as 1st seed or that we might not lose in Can't game but hes suggesting BG is better than Akron and I disagree with that. Look at the records, and BG is averaging about 1100 per home game so its no big home advantage!!

[Zip Watcher]

This season, three of the byes might just be determined with more than a week remaining in the season. Looking at the standings and the fact that three teams in the East could be a full 2 games clear of the entire rest of the conference by the end of tonight, tells me that we might know which East teams have the first round off by a week from Saturday.Basically, with 5 to play, each of these three teams has a theoretical magic number of 3 (combined wins w/ losses by Ball St., CMU & UB. UB are the bigger threat to UA, as they beat the other two head to head, so they're essentially up three with 5 to play over CMU & BSU.Seems to me with 3 games @ home over the remaining 5, the Zips are on pace to beat last years record and be in better shape heading to the Q.Go Zips!! B) B)

[Dave in Green]

I don't think that Rasor is really predicting the Can't-BG-Zips scenario. He's just reporting what his formula spits out, after which he points out all the flaws in his formula. Sounds a lot like RPI. ;)Most of the teams in the MAC have had major up and down swings, so it all depends on which end of the swing you're catching someone. For example, we caught Buffalo at Buffalo at the absolute worst time. Will the Buffalo visiting Akron be the same bellowing bulls we faced then, or the docile steers of recent weeks?

[Captain Kangaroo]

I don't think that Rasor is really predicting the Can't-BG-Zips scenario. He's just reporting what his formula spits out, after which he points out all the flaws in his formula. Sounds a lot like RPI.

Rasor Probability Index?

[Quickzips]

Much too difficult to try to predict this kind of stuff. Even at this late juncture in the season. Right now outside of (and I hate to say this) Can't it looks like just about any team is capable of winning any particular game. Even Can't has an L to one of the East's weaker teams in BG, at home nonetheless. Personally, I think the East will probably take 3 of the 4 byes with only the West champion getting one. As far as the Zips are concerned, I think they should easily go at least 3-2 down the stretch. I think Buffalo and OU at home should be wins, Miami on the road is probably a loss with the way they are playing of late, and they are typically a tough matchup at home for the Zips. That leaves the home game Can't and the road game at BG as toss ups. I think we at least split those two. Who knows though. Much too early to tell.

[MDZip]

I'm a little worried about Ohio right now, they are playing pretty well. Glad it's at home.