12-13 Akron Basketball Finishes 24-6

[Big Zip]

Interesting 100 thoughts on 100 College Basketball teams....not much information but they do predict a winning percentage for the Zips at .792 (23.75 wins).

http://deadspin.com/5961804/100-thoughts-a...dium=socialflow

[skip-zip]

Interesting 100 thoughts on 100 College Basketball teams....not much information but they do predict a winning percentage for the Zips at .792 (23.75 wins).

http://deadspin.com/5961804/100-thoughts-a...dium=socialflow

I wonder if they made this prediction before the season, or right now? I'd be somewhat surprised if any prognosticator wouild be generous enough to say that we are only going to have 4 losses over the last 25 games, but I'll take it !!

Now you have to ask, where does 24 wins put us? Certainly not at At-Large status with a horrible loss already on our resume. But, it would be ineteresting to see if that's more than good enough now for an NIT bid, hoping that minds have changed since the 2007 debacle.

[Dave in Green]

This was written before the season began. Author John Gasaway does a lot of work with Ken Pomeroy on advanced statistical analysis. The Pomeroy ratings predict which games each team is likely to win throughout the season. Obviously they become more accurate as the season goes on and game results are added into the speculative calculations.

Typically each team loses some they were projected to win and wins some they were projected to lose. The Zips have already experienced the former and need to produce some of the latter.

[OZoner]

Pomeroy is currently projecting 21-8.

[Dr Z]

The Pomeroy ratings predict which games each team is likely to win throughout the season.

Should be able to quit your job and just bet on who Pomeroy picks. Hello easy street.

[Captain Kangaroo]

Pomeroy is currently projecting 21-8.

21 wins, huh? Nice job Ken. Do you and Phil Steele ever sit around and laugh at the boobs that actually take you seriously? I give you both credit for running a sweet scam.

[Dave in Green]

Pomeroy's math projections are based on each team playing at the same level relative to other teams throughout the season. So Pomeroy projects that a team will beat every team currently ranked below them and lose to every team currently ranked above them (with homecourt advantage factored in). If everything was linear, the Pomeroy rankings would not have to be continuously adjusted throughout the season as teams lose games they were projected to win and win games they were projected to lose.

[Dr Z]

So it's useless? Damn, now I have to shred my resignation letter.

[Captain Kangaroo]

Pomeroy's math projections are based on each team playing at the same level relative to other teams throughout the season. So Pomeroy projects that a team will beat every team currently ranked below them and lose to every team currently ranked above them (with homecourt advantage factored in). If everything was linear, the Pomeroy rankings would not have to be continuously adjusted throughout the season as teams lose games they were projected to win and win games they were projected to lose.

So using the Ken Pom rules in Vegas...if I was dealt a crappy hand, I could pull-back some money from the house since my odds went down?

Year-end predictions that can be changed over the course of the year are not predictions at all.

Ken Ponzi

[Dave in Green]

What I appreciate about Pomeroy's formula is that it includes more variables and is generally more sophisticated and accurate than similar services. Zips fans should apreciate Pomeroy right now. While the more simplistic RPI has the Zips ranked only #137 in the country, the Pomeroy formula puts us at #58.

[jjackson123]

Right above Wyoming and the one that got away (Larry Nance Jr)

[akronzips71]

What I appreciate about Pomeroy's formula is that it includes more variables and is generally more sophisticated and accurate than similar services. Zips fans should apreciate Pomeroy right now. While the more simplistic RPI has the Zips ranked only #137 in the country, the Pomeroy formula puts us at #58.

That RPI will change. We are a whole lot better than #137

[OZoner]

21 wins, huh? Nice job Ken. Do you and Phil Steele ever sit around and laugh at the boobs that actually take you seriously? I give you both credit for running a sweet scam.

College coaches subscribe to Pomeroy's site. He's not running a scam and his data is very useful.

[Dr Z]

College coaches subscribe to Pomeroy's site.

College coaches do a lot of erroneous things. I hesitate to make a list.

[OZoner]

College coaches do a lot of erroneous things. I hesitate to make a list.

They also do a lot of correct things. Point is, Pomeroy is good at what he does.

[Dave in Green]

If anyone knows another source of data on college basketball with a better track record than Pomeroy, I'm always open to finding more accurate data sources.

[OZoner]

I lean a little more towards Basketball State than Pomeroy.

[Captain Kangaroo]

They also do a lot of correct things. Point is, Pomeroy is good at what he does.

So was Billy Mays.

[Dr Z]

If anyone knows another source of data on college basketball with a better track record than Pomeroy

You can't afford the service, stick with Pomeroy.

[Dave in Green]

I lean a little more towards Basketball State than Pomeroy.

Basketball State looks interesting. Thanks for sharing the good info.

[OZoner]

So was Billy Mays.

I've seen a few non-sequiturs today, but that might be the best one.

[OZoner]

Should be able to quit your job and just bet on who Pomeroy picks. Hello easy street.

Actually, a couple years ago I won the Mid-Majority pick 'em game going almost entirely on Pomeroy's predictions.

[Dr Z]

Actually, a couple years ago I won the Mid-Majority pick 'em game going almost entirely on Pomeroy's predictions.

Sometimes bad information can be used for good. PS. You can do the same with Chris Berman...if you can stand his voice.

[OZoner]

Did he predict Buffalo and San Fran in the Super Bowl again?