NWAkron's keys to the game:
Big upsets require a high shooting % by the underdog. UMBC shot over 50% when they beat #1 Virginia last year.
Also, free throws. Zips have to make almost all of theirs and limit Bulls trips to the line. In the game at Akron, UB had a lot more trips to the line than Akron even before the garbage final minutes.
Transition: Buffalo will grab the missed 3s and do quick damage. Here in lies the big problem. LCJ and Daniel will have the green light to shoot the 3. If they start off cold, Buffalo will build a big lead quickly. If those two start off hot, then there's a chance.