Jump to content

RPI update and Field of 48


Recommended Posts

8 minutes ago, Reslife4Life said:

One thing I don't understand, 3 years ago we played Santa Clara in the first round. How did that work out with proximity of opponents? 

Fair question. I looked back at the 2021 bracket and that Akron game was the only outlier to the proximity scheduling in round 1. I guess they just ran out of teams.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

After a few hours sleep.....let's try to look at RPI in terms of last team in (If the committed goes completely by RPI)....

 

obviously, lots of unknowns...and the RPI positions will change for UC Santa Barbara, High Point, St. Louis and Kansas City ...the teams still playing

#28 Charlotte would drop into the 30's if they lose   (FIU would steal a bid by winning that league)

#26 Vermont would drop into the 30's if they lose (Bryant would steal a bid by winning that league)

   Would Charlotte and Vermont RPI's drop below Akron if they lose ?   I have no idea 😧

 

I said last night that the last team...was currently #40...which is George Mason

let's look at 30 thru 40

 

#30  Western Michigan - regular season over

#31  Fordham - regular season over

#32  NC State - regular season over

#33  UCLA - Regular season over

#34  Akron - Regular season over

#35  UNC Greensboro - Regular season over

      #36 UC Santa Barbara - will play UC Davis for Big West automatic Bid

   #37 St. Louis - Will play #7 Dayton for Atlantic 10 automatic bid

   #38  Kansas City - will play #2 Denver for Summit league bid

        #39 High Point - will play Gardner Webb for Big South Title

#40 George Mason

 

I will say that UC Santa Barbara and High Point...both win their automatic spots

their RPI will probably jump a little...will they jump over #34 Akron?    Not relevant for Akron's at large bid

if they both lose, they will probably drop out of top 40...and not be a challenge to Akron for at large bid

 

St. Louis and Kansas City

if they both lose to top 10 teams, they will probably see a slight drop in RPI....and will be much less of a threat to Akron's at large bid

if they both win, Dayton and Denver get at large bids..and the cut line drops to 38

both teams will jump over Akron in RPI..and Akron drops from 34 to 36.

 

    what are currently the last teams in...if RPI is exactly followed (again, zips strong end of season should make them favorable to RPI position (in my biased opinion 😎)

 

last team in.....George Mason at #40

2nd to last team in - #38 Kansas City (if they lose league final)

3rd to last team in -  #37 St. Louis (if they lose to Dayton)

4th - #35 UNC-G

5th to last team in - #34 Akron

 

A georgetown win over Providence in league final and Ohio State win over Michigan (UCLA tied Michigan in Big Ten semis)...might help Akron jump UCLA in actual RPI. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

As of 7:30 PM on Friday, we have moved up to #33 (not sure who we passed). We also got a good result with Penn beating Brown. If Cornell beats Princeton later tonight, that will prevent a "stolen" automatic bid and ensure that the Ivy League only gets two bids instead of three. Big West title game is 10 PM tonight and we'll want UCSB to win to keep the Big West as a one bid league.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Ivy League semifinals today

rankings shown as of midnight...thursday night

 

#6 Penn defeated #79 Brown 2-1 on golden goal in 94th minute

 

ranking changes after match

Penn moves to #5...

Georgetown drops from #5 to 6

 

at midnight last night...all of the games were done

UCLA was #33 and Akron was #34

 

after the Penn vs. brown game was completed, the RPI rank for UCLA and Akron changed.....(to Akron's benefit)

 

UCLA and Brown....had common opponents....

 

Akron RPI improved from #34 to #33

UCLA RPI dropped from #33 to #37

 

 

the 2nd IVY league semi just finished....

the result was not helpful for Akron

#20 Cornell jumped out to a 2-0 lead against #44 Princeton

 

#44 Princeton stormed back....and just won 3-2 on a golden goal at 103:41

 

Princeton will play Penn on Sunday for Ivy League title

Cornell will still get into tournament despite losing tonight

Penn will still get into the tournament...even if they don't win on Sunday

 

With Princeton at 44...I thought that they would have to win the IVY league tournament to steal a bid....

 

RPI just updated....after Princeton win

Cornell dropped to #23 in RPI after the loss

 

Princeton jumped all the way from #44 to #32...with the win over high RPI team

Princeton win...caused Fordham and Western Michigan...to switch places.

Fordham is now 30 and Western Michigan dropped to 31

 

NC State dropped from 32 to 33

Akron dropped from 33 to 34

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, TennZip said:

Ivy League semifinals today

rankings shown as of midnight...thursday night

 

#6 Penn defeated #79 Brown 2-1 on golden goal in 94th minute

 

ranking changes after match

Penn moves to #5...

Georgetown drops from #5 to 6

 

at midnight last night...all of the games were done

UCLA was #33 and Akron was #34

 

after the Penn vs. brown game was completed, the RPI rank for UCLA and Akron changed.....(to Akron's benefit)

 

UCLA and Brown....had common opponents....

 

Akron RPI improved from #34 to #33

UCLA RPI dropped from #33 to #37

 

 

the 2nd IVY league semi just finished....

the result was not helpful for Akron

#20 Cornell jumped out to a 2-0 lead against #44 Princeton

 

#44 Princeton stormed back....and just won 3-2 on a golden goal at 103:41

 

Princeton will play Penn on Sunday for Ivy League title

Cornell will still get into tournament despite losing tonight

Penn will still get into the tournament...even if they don't win on Sunday

 

With Princeton at 44...I thought that they would have to win the IVY league tournament to steal a bid....

 

RPI just updated....after Princeton win

Cornell dropped to #23 in RPI after the loss

 

Princeton jumped all the way from #44 to #32...with the win over high RPI team

Princeton win...caused Fordham and Western Michigan...to switch places.

Fordham is now 30 and Western Michigan dropped to 31

 

NC State dropped from 32 to 33

Akron dropped from 33 to 34

Princeton may now be in even if they lose the title game. But, with a loss, they would likely fall back behind Akron? I'm thinking they'd fall to about 35-37 with a loss.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Big West final....

 

at midnight last night, the rankings were  #36 UC Santa barbara vs  #69 UC Davis on Friday 

 

UC Davis won 2-0....

 

UC Davis gets the league automatic bid...and moves up to #52

 

UC Santa Barbara drops down to #40......

 

Akron at #34....will get an at large bid......much more easily than UC Santa Barbara at #40

 

 

       these are the 2 finals....to really watch on Saturday

 

Summit League Saturday final

#2 Denver vs.  #38 Kansas City

 

Coastal Athletic Saturday final

#4 Hofstra vs.  #76 UNCW

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

25 minutes ago, NYC ZIP said:

A couple other potential Zip helpers today:

San Diego (21) over LMU (125)

Oregon St (20) over Portland (88)

 

And then Dayton, Vermont and Penn tomorrow

 

 

good comments...I am also rooting for #28 Charlotte to knock off #62 FIU tomorrow

 

a Georgetown win tomorrow also would not hurt.  I will be watching on FS2.

 

NCAA.com scoreboard says that the Denver game starts at 5 eastern today...and that Hofstra starts at 7 eastern.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, NYC ZIP said:

A couple other potential Zip helpers today:

San Diego (21) over LMU (125)

Oregon St (20) over Portland (88)

 

And then Dayton, Vermont and Penn tomorrow

 

 

What is the importance of the San Diego and Oregon State games? Those are not conference tournament games, as the WCC doesn't have a conference tourney from what I see at a quick glance. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, Zips1991 said:

What is the importance of the San Diego and Oregon State games? Those are not conference tournament games, as the WCC doesn't have a conference tourney from what I see at a quick glance. 

Any losses by teams above the Zips to teams with high rpi could bump them into the thirties and could muddy up those last 5-8 at large bids. 
I’m not an expert in this but my best guess is anyone above the Zips can just stay there and no one moves up.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

If the Zips get in, the Committee will probably rank them.....in the 33 to 36 range.....

 

which means that Akron will be on the road as they are not in the top 32

 

could possibly play on the road at a team ranked between 29 to 32

 

If Ohio State knocks off Michigan in  Big Ten title, Michigan could drop from current ranking of 27....

 

Zips might get sent to play Michigan.......with the winner of that game....having to play on Sunday at #3 RPI Pittsburgh

 

The NCAA always likes to match up rivals that no longer play each other.

 

Zips could be sent to play at Western Michigan.....with the winner of that game....then having to play Sunday at #1 RPI Ohio State

 

 

At this point, we all just want the Zips to get in.    If they get in, it is going to be a brutally tough draw.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, TennZip said:

If the Zips get in, the Committee will probably rank them.....in the 33 to 36 range.....

 

which means that Akron will be on the road as they are not in the top 32

 

could possibly play on the road at a team ranked between 29 to 32

 

If Ohio State knocks off Michigan in  Big Ten title, Michigan could drop from current ranking of 27....

 

Zips might get sent to play Michigan.......with the winner of that game....having to play on Sunday at #3 RPI Pittsburgh

 

The NCAA always likes to match up rivals that no longer play each other.

 

Zips could be sent to play at Western Michigan.....with the winner of that game....then having to play Sunday at #1 RPI Ohio State

 

 

At this point, we all just want the Zips to get in.    If they get in, it is going to be a brutally tough draw.

No doubt. Just get in and go to work. And I’m with you, it’s likely the Pitt or Ohio State second round. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

18 minutes ago, NYC ZIP said:

UMKC scores at 89:47 to beat Denver and jumps to 25 rpi. Zips move to 35 rpi.

well, that is not a good way to start the weekend of key games

 

Kansas city is showing as #21 RPI (at 6:30)

Denver only drops from 2 to 3

 

As NYCZIP mentioned, Akron dropped from 34 to 35

UCLA drops from 37 to 39....as one of their impressive results was 0-0 against Denver

 

Gaucho Dan currently shows

Cal Santa Barbara (40 ) as last team out

 

UCLA (39) as last team in

St. Louis (37) as 2nd to last team in...St. Louis will knock the zips a spot down if St. Louis beats Dayton tomorrow

UNC-Greensboro (36) - 3rd to last

Akron (35) is 4th to last

 

NC State at 34

Princeton at 33....if they beat Penn tomorrow...more bad news for zips

Western Michigan at 32

Link to comment
Share on other sites

#68 Gardner Webb just defeated High Point (they were at #38 when game was going on) 2-1

 

Gardner Webb gets the automatic bid for the big South and jumps from #68 to #48 in RPI

 

High Point drops from #38 to #40....and currently is on the wrong side of the cut line

Cal Santa Barbara moves to 39 

 

Bucknell beat Colgate 3-0 to get Patriot League bid.

 

Nothing is going easy for the Zips in key games -   #4 Hofstra...is tied 0-0 at 60 minutes with UNCW (currently #75)

Edited by TennZip
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Zips1991 said:

Not sure what caused it but looks like Akron has jumped back ahead of NC State, moving from #35 to #34. Really need Hofstra to hold on to this 1-0 lead here though.

NC State has a loss to High Point who lost their conference championship game tonight. The RPI stuff across everyone’s schedule is dizzying.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, malonepioneer12 said:

Hofstra won….

they dominated game....

but it was a huge fluke goal

own goal at 80 minutes....

UNCW center back tried to head it back to GK

GK was further away from goal than the CB thought and the headed back ball went over the GK's head for a goal

 

Great result for the zips....
 

  • Like 1
  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The way I'm looking at it, according strictly to RPI and nothing else, we're four spots ahead of the cut line with 3-4 potential "steals" left.

 

Tomorrow, we'll want:

Dayton over Saint Louis

Vermont over Bryant

Charlotte over FIU

Penn over Princeton (If Princeton lose, we'd also likely jump them in the RPI and be 5 spots ahead of the cut line.)

 

So things are looking good, but for some extra comfort, we could use the games above going the right way.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

You never know what the NCAA committee is going to do.........

 

As NYCZIP pointed out,  AKron, NC State, UCLA, Western Michigan can all be impacted by teams on their schedule....still playing

 

UCLA lost to Michigan on PK's in semis....so UCLA might get a bump tomorrow if Michigan upsets Ohio State

Akron could get a bump if Georgetown wins

Western Michigan has a win over Vermont...so they might see a bump with a Vermont win

UNCG has ties with Charlotte and West Virginia...so they would probably benefit from those 2 teams winning

 

According to NCAA.com.....below are the games schedule for tomorrow

Michigan vs.  Ohio   State     3 pm    Big Ten Network

Wake Forest vs. Clemson     noon     ESPNU

St. Louis vs. Dayton              noon.......

Long Island U. vs. Fairleigh Dickinson noon

FIU vs.  Charlotte                 1 pm

Georgetown vs. Providence    noon   - fox sports 2

Rider vs.  Iona                          1 pm

Princeton vs. Penn                 1 pm

Bryant vs. Vermont               1 pm

Marshall vs. West Virginia    1 pm

Furman vs.   ETSU                2 pm

Edited by TennZip
  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Portland beats Oregon State.

Oregon State goes from 21 to 30.

 

Zips hold solid at 34.

 

St Louis, who has a win over Portland, goes to 35.

 

UCSB, who also has a win over Portland goes to 38.

 

2 hours ago, TennZip said:

You never know what the NCAA committee is going to do.........

 

As NYCZIP pointed out,  AKron, NC State, UCLA, Western Michigan can all be impacted by teams on their schedule....still playing

 

UCLA lost to Michigan on PK's in semis....so UCLA might get a bump tomorrow if Michigan upsets Ohio State

Akron could get a bump if Georgetown wins

Western Michigan has a win over Vermont...so they might see a bump with a Vermont win

UNCG has ties with Charlotte and West Virginia...so they would probably benefit from those 2 teams winning

 

According to NCAA.com.....below are the games schedule for tomorrow

Michigan vs.  Ohio   State     3 pm    Big Ten Network

Wake Forest vs. Clemson     noon     ESPNU

St. Louis vs. Dayton              noon.......

Long Island U. vs. Fairleigh Dickinson noon

FIU vs.  Charlotte                 1 pm

Georgetown vs. Providence    noon   - fox sports 2

Rider vs.  Iona                          1 pm

Princeton vs. Penn                 1 pm

Bryant vs. Vermont               1 pm

Marshall vs. West Virginia    1 pm

Furman vs.   ETSU                2 pm

Edited by NYC ZIP
  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Watching Big East title game on Fox Sports 2.  Georgetown leads 1-0 nearing halftime.  Announcers talking a lot about the Zips, including that they subbed very little in first half vs Hoyas and tired late in that game.  GU keeper Manske made a great stop to preserve their lead vs PU.

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Restore formatting

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...