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Sagarin Tells IU to Look Past the Zips


Captain Kangaroo

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Hey...I'm OK, your OK, the Zips are OK and using Jeff's current ratings the Zips should win by 1.58 points.
I hate to break up the group hug, but isn't the spread 1.67 points using his current rankings?Sagarin Rankings 09162009UA's ranking = 65.60IU's Ranking = 66.93Home Field = 3.0065.60 + 3.00 - 66.93 = 1.67I know.....I need to get a life and soon.
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I like that article, and agree with it. That is why I feel that no rankings should be posted until week 6.
AMEN! The preseason ranking greatly weigh the system & thus largely predetermine the late-season rankings to the advantage of their traditional favorites. The NCAA is a racket and the BCS is a scam.
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Hey...I'm OK, your OK, the Zips are OK and using Jeff's current ratings the Zips should win by 1.58 points.
I hate to break up the group hug, but isn't the spread 1.67 points using his current rankings?Sagarin Rankings 09162009UA's ranking = 65.60IU's Ranking = 66.93Home Field = 3.0065.60 + 3.00 - 66.93 = 1.67I know.....I need to get a life and soon.
Your link title is a bit misleading. The ratings are as of 9/13/2009 not 9/16/2009. Also I did not round the 2.91 home field advantage to 3.0 as suggested by Jeff. It actually is not critical either way as the Zips will be winning by 14 points.
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Hey...I'm OK, your OK, the Zips are OK and using Jeff's current ratings the Zips should win by 1.58 points.
I hate to break up the group hug, but isn't the spread 1.67 points using his current rankings?Sagarin Rankings 09162009UA's ranking = 65.60IU's Ranking = 66.93Home Field = 3.0065.60 + 3.00 - 66.93 = 1.67I know.....I need to get a life and soon.
Your link title is a bit misleading. The ratings are as of 9/13/2009 not 9/16/2009. Also I did not round the 2.91 home field advantage to 3.0 as suggested by Jeff. It actually is not critical either way as the Zips will be winning by 14 points.
You caught me in the old "post date the link" trick. Kudos. And you correctly pointed out a more precise value for home field advantage. I am now better informed. Thanks! :bow:
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I'm OK with "OK" until the Zips prove otherwise.
Sounds good to me. We don't know how good Indiana is, and we don't know much about ourselves right now either.I hope this game starts to tell us a lot more.....and I hope it's good :D
I just wish we could play Michigan the following week so we could truly gauge our team.
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Hey...I'm OK, your OK, the Zips are OK and using Jeff's current ratings the Zips should win by 1.58 points.
I hate to break up the group hug, but isn't the spread 1.67 points using his current rankings?Sagarin Rankings 09162009UA's ranking = 65.60IU's Ranking = 66.93Home Field = 3.0065.60 + 3.00 - 66.93 = 1.67I know.....I need to get a life and soon.
Your link title is a bit misleading. The ratings are as of 9/13/2009 not 9/16/2009. Also I did not round the 2.91 home field advantage to 3.0 as suggested by Jeff. It actually is not critical either way as the Zips will be winning by 14 points.
You caught me in the old "post date the link" trick. Kudos. And you correctly pointed out a more precise value for home field advantage. I am now better informed. Thanks! :bow:
You are welcome. Now if I can just convince Jeff to stop truncating his rankings and home field advantage to two digits to the right of the decimal point we can really start to get some accurate spreads.
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Hey...I'm OK, your OK, the Zips are OK and using Jeff's current ratings the Zips should win by 1.58 points.
I hate to break up the group hug, but isn't the spread 1.67 points using his current rankings?Sagarin Rankings 09162009UA's ranking = 65.60IU's Ranking = 66.93Home Field = 3.0065.60 + 3.00 - 66.93 = 1.67I know.....I need to get a life and soon.
Your link title is a bit misleading. The ratings are as of 9/13/2009 not 9/16/2009. Also I did not round the 2.91 home field advantage to 3.0 as suggested by Jeff. It actually is not critical either way as the Zips will be winning by 14 points.
You caught me in the old "post date the link" trick. Kudos. And you correctly pointed out a more precise value for home field advantage. I am now better informed. Thanks! :bow:
You are welcome. Now if I can just convince Jeff to stop truncating his rankings and home field advantage to two digits to the right of the decimal point we can really start to get some accurate spreads.
If you read his introduction on his ranking page, you'll notice that he says that the ratings used to determine the point spread and pick winners is the PREDICTOR rating, which is one of the two ratings used to come up with his main rating. The other one is the BCS rating which doesn't account for margin of victory.Using his PREDICTOR rating, you get the following:UA's ranking: 68.15IU's ranking: 63.43HOME FIELD: 2.91(68.15 + 2.91) - 63.43 = 7.63This means that Akron should win by at least a TD.
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Hey...I'm OK, your OK, the Zips are OK and using Jeff's current ratings the Zips should win by 1.58 points.
I hate to break up the group hug, but isn't the spread 1.67 points using his current rankings?Sagarin Rankings 09162009UA's ranking = 65.60IU's Ranking = 66.93Home Field = 3.0065.60 + 3.00 - 66.93 = 1.67I know.....I need to get a life and soon.
Your link title is a bit misleading. The ratings are as of 9/13/2009 not 9/16/2009. Also I did not round the 2.91 home field advantage to 3.0 as suggested by Jeff. It actually is not critical either way as the Zips will be winning by 14 points.
You caught me in the old "post date the link" trick. Kudos. And you correctly pointed out a more precise value for home field advantage. I am now better informed. Thanks! :bow:
You are welcome. Now if I can just convince Jeff to stop truncating his rankings and home field advantage to two digits to the right of the decimal point we can really start to get some accurate spreads.
If you read his introduction on his ranking page, you'll notice that he says that the ratings used to determine the point spread and pick winners is the PREDICTOR rating, which is one of the two ratings used to come up with his main rating. The other one is the BCS rating which doesn't account for margin of victory.Using his PREDICTOR rating, you get the following:UA's ranking: 68.15IU's ranking: 63.43HOME FIELD: 2.91(68.15 + 2.91) - 63.43 = 7.63This means that Akron should win by at least a TD.
Excellent find, ZtZ. You're almost as diligent as UAkronKid.
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