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Akron at Eastern Mich


The Hip Zip

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We open up as a 5.5 underdog. While I am not overtly confident at this point that we win this game I am a bit surprised at how much this line disrespects our program in general. I suppose that I can understand it though, Eastern plays a tough zone and Riley and crew are probably the only team in the MAC that match up to our front court length. Their RPI is impressive and Murphy is building a program. The days of EMU being a pushover are over.

Sack up and prove them wrong on this one. This may be a big game for our psyche so lets smack 'em in the mouth in front of their 187 fans.

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We used to complain about the low RPIs in the MAC West. Pomeroy has EMU at 95 and UA at 153, so here is an opportunity for the Zips to improve their RPI. I know, I know. It doesn’t matter so much this year since at at-large bid is out of the question. But it’s better than playing a team with an RPI in the 200s, right?

The real issue here is team psyche. A 2nd consecutive beat-down, compliments of a MAC West squad, might have lasting consequences. Win or lose, I hope to see more effort so that the game is at least competitive. Yes, my expectations eased a bit in 2014, but I think I’m just being a realist.

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Pomeroy may have EMU at #95. But the really important number is RPI, where Live RPI has them at #44. Why is that so important? Because there's a callout on the NCAA tournament selection committee sheet for top 50 RPI wins. A top 50 RPI win on the road can make a difference in NCAA tournament seeding should the Zips get there. When's the last time the Zips had a top 50 RPI win on the road? No matter what anyone here thinks about EMU's real strength, RPI loves them because they had the #5 toughest OOC SOS in the country with games against Syracuse, Kentucky, Duke and UMass among others. EMU's 2-3 zone will be a serious challenge for the Zips to crack.

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Pomeroy may have EMU at #95. But the really important number is RPI, where Live RPI has them at #44. Why is that so important? Because there's a callout on the NCAA tournament selection committee sheet for top 50 RPI wins. A top 50 RPI win on the road can make a difference in NCAA tournament seeding should the Zips get there. When's the last time the Zips had a top 50 RPI win on the road? No matter what anyone here thinks about EMU's real strength, RPI loves them because they had the #5 toughest OOC SOS in the country with games against Syracuse, Kentucky, Duke and UMass among others. EMU's 2-3 zone will be a serious challenge for the Zips to crack.

Hmm. Playing a high SOS OOC has given them a #44 RPI, some attention and respect, and has better prepared them to start their best run to begin MAC play in years? What a concept.

Dave, I understand that a road win against a Top-50 RPI team can catapult your own present ranking, but when it comes to tournament seeding at the end of the year, the only thing that will matter is if EMU has a Top-50 RPI at the end of the season, and not now. Correct?

On another note:

Does anyone else find this to be extremely odd? Not only do we play EMU (a non-division team) twice, but the two games are only a couple of weeks apart??

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On another note:

Does anyone else find this to be extremely odd? Not only do we play EMU (a non-division team) twice, but the two games are only a couple of weeks apart??

Schedule is pretty strange this year, the extra West games are because the of the new 18 game schedule - and we don't play Buffalo at all until the last 6 games of the season and then play them twice in two weeks then. I think tonights game will tell a lot about the way this Zips season will go. Win it and I think a top 4 seed is really likely, lose it and it could well be play in game time. I think it could be that critical.

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... Dave, I understand that a road win against a Top-50 RPI team can catapult your own present ranking, but when it comes to tournament seeding at the end of the year, the only thing that will matter is if EMU has a Top-50 RPI at the end of the season, and not now. Correct? ...

To the best of my knowledge the opponent's RPI at the time you beat them is what counts at the end of the season. Otherwise you could beat a top 50 team when they're at full strength, and if that team for instance later lost their three top players to injuries and their record and RPI cratered at the end of the season, you wouldn't be getting credit for what at the time was a much better win than the opponent's final RPI might show. You can see where the top 50 wins and losses are called out on the Zips NCAA Selection Sheet right here.

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To the best of my knowledge the opponent's RPI at the time you beat them is what counts at the end of the season. Otherwise you could beat a top 50 team when they're at full strength, and if that team for instance later lost their three top players to injuries and their record and RPI cratered at the end of the season, you wouldn't be getting credit for what at the time was a much better win than the opponent's final RPI might show. You can see where the top 50 wins and losses are called out on the Zips NCAA Selection Sheet right here.

I see your Sheet.

Actually, there is one way to definitively get the answer. For example, it shows that we were beaten by #11 RPI Iowa State (one of our two Top-50 RPI losses). Is that their RPI NOW, or their RPI when they beat us?

By looking at a couple of the other teams vs. Akron, it seems to show their current RPI.

So, it looks like this continues to update during the course of the season, and doesn't stick to the team's ranking at the time the game was played.

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@skip-zip, checking a number of team RPI values on the Zips sheet vs. Live RPI shows that most are not exactly the same but all are pretty close to current RPI. If that sheet is identical to the way the NCAA does it, then my assumption was wrong and it's the final season RPI that counts. So you don't get full credit for beating a team that may have been much stronger when you beat them than they end up at the end of the season. I suppose the counterargument is that you get more than full credit for beating a team that was weaker when you beat them than they end up at the season's conclusion, and that it all balances out. Thanks for questioning that.

@The Hip Zip, it's not so much that I love stats and numbers. In fact I find them annoying in the sense that it takes time to look them up and then try to translate their significance. In my case, I just like to doublecheck what I think I'm seeing against other measures of what's happening, and stats and numbers can be useful tools in helping develop a more complete and accurate understanding of things.

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