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kreed5120

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Everything posted by kreed5120

  1. The one obstacle would be if the B1G decides to relocate from Lucas Oil. B1G current deal with Indianapolis conveniently expires in 2028. Just in time for the Brook Park stadium
  2. That certainly plays a part. The formulas also while involving many of the same criteria weigh things differently. I'm not sure where Buffalo would be ranked in kenpom without the preseason expectations built in. We will find that out in early to mid-January when it gets completely phased out.
  3. NET rankings have been released. Akron currently sits at #42. Others of note. UB - #87 Miami - #108 BGSU - #111 Toledo - #150 Kent State - #157 https://stats.ncaa.org/selection_rankings/nitty_gritties/47272
  4. It's an entirely crappy situation. Same with the only portal window being in January when teams are still playing their postseason.
  5. Move it to Brook Park once new stadium is built.
  6. Here is how ChatGPT breaks this down. I compiled this on my phone while riding passenger on my way to Columbus. I attempted to manually format to make it a little bit cleaner and easier to read. Offense gap is large. Akron’s AdjO (~120.5) is elite for a mid-major and sits in the top ~25–60 nationally depending on week; Bucknell’s AdjO (~101.5) sits near the bottom third. That ~19 points per 100 possessions gap is the primary story. Tempo matters. Akron plays a noticeably faster pace (~72.4 possessions/game), which tends to amplify offensive advantage (more possessions = more opportunity). Bucknell is slower (~68.1) so they naturally reduce possessions — a classic underdog slowing strategy — but Akron’s offense is efficient enough that tempo moderation probably won’t fully erase the gap. Defense — middling vs below average. Akron’s AdjD (~106) is average-to-slightly-better-than-average; Bucknell’s AdjD (~111) is weaker. So Bucknell needs to get stops AND hope to limit Akron’s chances; that’s a tall order. Efficiency drivers (from box/advanced splits): KenPom’s line for Akron shows a high eFG% and top-50 tempo; Bucknell’s lower AdjO and worse eFG / turnover numbers (KenPom rank indicators) indicate Bucknell struggles to create clean shots and/or avoid turnovers and defensive breakdowns. Team strengths & weaknesses (practical) Akron (strengths) High-volume, efficient scoring — they rank well in AdjO and push possessions. That puts scoreboard pressure on opponents. They have players capable of hunting points efficiently. Transition / pace advantage — they do damage in open court and on early offense. Akron (weaknesses / things Bucknell could exploit) Not elite defensively. Teams that limit their three-point looks or force half-court possessions could narrow margins. Bucknell (strengths) Tendency to slow tempo and clamp in half-court sets. They try to limit possessions, protect the paint, and control the clock. This can make games lower scoring and increase variance. Bucknell (weaknesses) Offensive inefficiency. Low AdjO and poor shooting/creation numbers; struggles to score against better defenses. Recent heavy losses underline vulnerabilities. Defensive lapses vs quality opponents. When pressed by high-tempo teams that move the ball and attack the rim, Bucknell has had trouble. Key matchup factors & X–O chess Akron’s shooters vs Bucknell closeouts. If Akron shoots well from three, Bucknell’s slower pace won’t matter — Akron can get quick early leads and then control tempo. If Bucknell can force Akron into contested jumpers and reduce open looks, the game gets closer. Rebounding & second-chance points. Bucknell must limit Akron’s offensive rebounds and keep the game to a single possession per trip. Akron’s pace gives them offensive rebound opportunities. Turnover margin. Akron’s efficiency suggests they don’t turn the ball over excessively; Bucknell needs to generate turnovers to create extra possessions. If Akron protects the ball, Bucknell’s lower touchdown-rate offense won’t keep up. Foul/FT game. If Bucknell tries to hack/physical game to stop Akron early (and send them to line), watch Akron’s free-throw rates and make percentage. Teams that draw fouls and convert free throws can blunt a slowing strategy. Matchup projection & numbers Raw KenPom-style expectation: given Akron’s AdjO ~120.5 vs Bucknell AdjD ~111.1, and Akron’s AdjD ~106.3 vs Bucknell AdjO ~101.5, the net favors Akron by a sizable margin. On a neutral court, that gap commonly translates into a double-digit edge (≈10–15 points). If Akron is home that margin increases; if Bucknell is home it shrinks but Akron still looks favored on paper.
  7. I don't feel we've looked particularly sharp this game, but we're still up 18.
  8. Ugly start to the game by both teams.
  9. Last year the first NET rankings were released the first Monday in December. If that remains true, we should see them Monday. Beware they are usually pretty puzzling the first few weeks since NET doesn't use preseason rankings to help smooth them like NET does. This will lead to a couple head scratching teams ranked very high. As we get into conference they will begin to sort itself out.
  10. Yes, it pretty much means we've played much better than our record indicated based on our SOS. I think we would pretty middle of the road prior to the Yale game.
  11. I agree. I don't see us going 17-1 this year. I think it will be more like 15-3.
  12. EMU pulls off the upset.
  13. I'm not surprised because he has the size, athleticism, and skill set to play at that level. He just wasn't good enough against that level of competition to carry an offense on his back. He's surrounded by more talent so can just settle into his role.
  14. Miami down 8 at the half against 1-6 UNCG.
  15. Yes, the only jobs he should be a serious candidate for would be OC as that's the only position he has had measurable success at. It would be hard for UConn, or anyone, to sell him to their fans or boosters as a serious candidate. They aren't going to care to hear about what limitations he might have experienced at Akron. They will just see his record.
  16. That's fine, all the good analytical people who could offer insight and breakdown match-ups have long been chased off. It's mainly just now loud mouth clowns who think whoever screams louder has the better argument.
  17. Chatgpt is going to leave @clarkwgriswold jobless with his game preview write-ups.
  18. Likely agree. UConn cleary has basketball as main priority. Colorado State at least has a pathway to the CFP whereas UConn really doesn't.
  19. I don't disagree with you that the team would be better is Barre was able to contribute quality minutes. I'm more saying it will be better to ramp him up to that during games we have well in hand to build up that level of trust.
  20. And video evidence showed no hook and hold and that he did fall back into him. It validated the call on the floor. If anything that weakens you argument as you can't even say it was a call the refs missed. Besides the call would have needed to be reviewed regardless because they had to know if the foul occurred before the buzzer and if so how much time to leave on the clock. Groce said in the post game interview after game 1 that MMK earned his minutes in practice when asked if we will see Barre or Briscoe this year. He said both those guys will need to work for their minutes. Once again when you're the 11th man in the rotation you're going to have a short leash in a tightly contested game. If this was Evansville and we were up 20+ he may have let him play through mistakes. We literally trailed for all but maybe 1-2 minutes that game. If anything he should have been given more run time against Iona or Evansville to shake off the rust so he's more prepared when we might need him. Edit: Groce really wanted that game. He pretty much treated it like a MAC tournament game. He shorted his rotation to really 8 man (Ognjen only got 7 minutes) and Tavari, Evan, and Scott all played 32+ minutes. He played the players he had the most trust in what he treated as a must win game. That's what coaches do.
  21. He literally was falling backwards into Townsend. It was a textbook foul. Nothing borderline about it. He needed to go straight up for the rebound. The better you are, the longer the leash you have. Groce hasn't seen enough in practice from him to warrant extended play. He gives him a chance and he gifts Yale 2 points at the end of the half. Killing the momentem Akron had going into half. That's not to say he won't get minutes again, but when he does get them he has to show he deserves more. Eric Mahaffey made a costly turnover late in the game, but he was left in the game. That's because he's built up the goodwill therefore has a longer leash than the unproven guy who is getting outplayed in practice by MMK. Edit: Personally, I like the tone it sets. It shows players that minutes are earned, not given. Perhaps it gets players to dig deeper to up the effort an extra 5%-10%.
  22. It's not just football revenue. It's TV money as well. Even though football is the biggest revenue generator, basketball is still great for them to fill time slots on SEC or B1G networks. Basketball pays for itself. It's the other sports that football subsidizes.
  23. I assume the Yale player that was the beneficiary to all the cuts to the basket also made it. His ability to finish at the rim was almost as vital as Townsend having the ability to always make the right basketball decision.
  24. I would say that play and Barre fouling Townsend with .6 seconds left before the half-time buzzer. I'm almost certain Barre never saw the floor the rest of the night, deservingly so.
  25. I didn't stick around to listen and find out. Tavari was pretty much guaranteed to make it by half-time. I'm not sure of any others.
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