Somehow need UMass to be the 4th, 5th, or 8th seed to get onto the Sweaters side of the bracket. Or... Miami drops 2 to any combination of UMass/BG/Toledo/Ohio (I don't see them losing otherwise) and Akron wins out to take the 1 seed.
Separation is occurring between Buffalo and the rest of the field for the 8th seed. The tournament field might be set here soon if Balls, Central, Northern, and Eastern don't find some magic.