I don't think that is a fair comparison due to the suspension of your starting QB the day before the game. If I could magically take PN16 today, and place him in that game as your starting QB, I think we have a 50/50 chance against IU (even with that crud defensive scheme). I'll go to my grave believing that, and it will take an in person apology from CJ himself to forgive that let down of a day.
I respect GP1's laugh-o-meter more than the RPI, so I'll have to go with that for now. Remember, he who laughs last, laughs the loudest. TBD.