TennZip
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RPI update and Field of 48
TennZip replied to TennZip's topic in Akron Zips NCAA Championship Soccer
Georgetown jumps up to #5 in RPI. Wake Forest 5-1 win over Virginia.....improves them from #23 on Monday to #15 as of 10:50 pm .....on Thursday Virginia drops from 6 on Monday to #10 tonight Clemson edges California 3-2 Clemson was 14 on Monday....they are still at 14 after the win California was 26....on Monday...loss drops them to 29 as of 10:50 Cal finishes the regular season with a 8-8-2 record they were the 11 seed in the ACC tournament Cal was 5-7-2 before getting wins against Stanford, North Carolina and Duke Akron strength of schedule(SOS) was 85 before tonight's game after the game, SOS for Akron was 76 Akron opponent strength of schedule(OSS) was 30 before the game after the game, OSS was 27 -
RPI update and Field of 48
TennZip replied to TennZip's topic in Akron Zips NCAA Championship Soccer
#34 Charlotte def. S. Florida 1-0 in their conference semi Charlotte up to #29 in RPI as of 7:45 on Thursday LIU def. Zip in season opponent...St. Francis 4-1 with Charlotte moving up from #34 to #29, Zips drop from #31 to #32 (as of 7:45) Providence win over #73 St. Johns moves them from 16 to 14 Georgetown had tied Providence during the season Providence win tonight helps Georgetown go from #11 to #10 #23 Wake Forest is pounding #6 (as of Monday morning) Virginia 5-1 at 77 minutes -
Jääskeläinen Field I love it !!!!! I have asked 2 friends to make a prediction......on tonight's game...... both friends....have taken a hard pass...... I will be BOLD !!!!.....and possibly show my brilliance...or more likely my naivete...and ignorance I know that the last game was 1-0. I know that Georgetown has shutout their opponents in 11 out of 18 games.... My prediction...... With a wet field, there will be players slipping...... It will be harder for a GK to control the ball on shots....... The score will be surprisingly high scoring....it will be 2-2 after 90 minutes @MDZip will leave the stadium happy as the Zips score in the first overtime......as Wan Kuzri Wan Kamal scores a rebound goal after the GK has not handled a hard shot by Dyson Clapier.
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RPI update and Field of 48
TennZip replied to TennZip's topic in Akron Zips NCAA Championship Soccer
Good observation on Fordham....and good question. @fknbuflobo has often mentioned how Gaucho Dan is an absolute guru about RPI. It is safe to say that Gaucho Dan knows 1,000 times more about RPI than I do. Many rabid and knowledgeable college soccer fans post on a blog called Big Soccer college forum (I do not have an ID on that forum and do not post). Gaucho Dan earlier this week did a deep dive into RPI on big soccer college forum. After his initial post, another poster asked Gaucho Dan ( I added "of the tournament "..in brackets to give question some context.) I have attached a link below to Gaucho Dan deep dive Question by user: Could Akron fall out (of the tournament) with a semifinal loss (to Georgetown)? as I said , Gaucho Dan understands much better than I do....how Strength of schedule (SOS) and Opponent Strength of Schedule (OSS) impact RPI. Gaucho Dan answer to question on Akron: Akron's RPI will not suffer with a semifinal loss to Georgetown. Notice the projected SOS and OSS numbers on Akron's team page improve with the addition of G'town: that's 75% of the RPI formula. TennZip....I have never been to Akron's team page on Gaucho Dan's live rankings to look at Projected SOS and OSS numbers but I trust and like what Gaucho Dan is saying. Another important thing to remember about RPI......when it comes to tournament games A win by Akron in regular time.....or in sudden death overtime....counts as a win in the regular season record....and in RPI calculation Conversely, a loss by Akron in Regular time .....or in suddent death overtime.....counts as a loss in the regular season record and in RPI calculation Akron's current record is 11-3-4. if Georgetown and Akron are tied after 110 minutes, Akron's record after the game will be 11-3-5......no matter who wins on PK's @fknbuflobo ; @Zip_ME87 @YipaZip - you 3 are probably more knowledgeable than I am...about RPI Please correct me if the 2 statements below are wrong.... if Akron wins on PK's , they will not move up as much in RPI...as they would with a win in the first 90 minutes or 109 minutes Conversely, if Georgetown were to win on PK's, Akron would do much better than a straight loss in regulation as the record would reflect a tie against a high RPI team link to Big Soccer Deep Dive https://www.bigsoccer.com/threads/rpi-deep-dive-in-final-week-of-season.2133272/ link to Gaucho Dan live RPI rankings https://rpiupdatemenssoccer.blogspot.com/search/label/RPI Rank -
RPI update and Field of 48
TennZip replied to TennZip's topic in Akron Zips NCAA Championship Soccer
Wednesday night tournament games....and impact on NCAA At large bids...and RPI Sunbelt Conference The two high ranked teams will meet in the conference final #15 RPI West Virginia defeated #63 Kentucky 2-1 #13 RPI Marshall won 1-0 against #64 James Madison Missouri Valley Conference The RPI cut line for at large dropped by 1.....tonight as #7 Missouri State will not get the MVC automatic bid #82 Evansville upset #7 Missouri State 1-0 #60 Bowling Green defeated #40 Drake 1-0 Atlantic 10 #11 Dayton won 2-0 against #29 Fordham #49 St. Louis defeated #38 George Mason 2-1 George Mason and Drake were the last 2 at large teams making the cut when I posted an update early Monday morning. with their semifinal losses tonight, they are both probably done for an at large bid Dayton will get a spot in the tournament whether they win or lose against St. Louis. you will see below...that St. Louis jumped into the mid 30's with tonight's win american East #28 Vermont avoided a huge upset with a 2-1 double overtime win over #84 UMBC #62 Bryant and #43 New Hampshire were tied 0-0 after 110 minutes Bryant advanced to the final on PK's there were a few games on Monday and Tuesday..that had a mild impact on the RPI's from early Monday morning NC State was 31 on early Morning....Akron was 32 on early Morning when I looked at RPI's after Monday and Tuesday games...Akron was 31...and NC State was 32 Notable changes after tonight's games involving ranked teams tonight Dayton RPI improved from 11.....up to #6 Missouri State dropped from #7 to #10 With Dayton jumping in the rating, Georgetown dropped from #10 to #11 Marshall improved to #12 in RPI West Virginia improved to #14 in RPI Vermont improved from #28 to #26 Despite the loss, Fordham stayed at #29...after facing high RPI Dayton Western Michigan is still at 30 after tonight's game...and Akron is still at #31 ST. Louis jumped from #49 to #35 after tonight's semifinal win With their loss tonight, George Mason dropped from #38 to #40 Drake dropped from 40 to #43 New Hampshire PK loss saw them drop only spot...now at #44 Bowling Green improved from #60 to #50 In their last games, Evansville has upset Western Michigan and Missouri State their win tonight jumped Evansville from #82 to #57 -
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Excellent comments by @NYC ZIPand @zippy-claws Victor Gaulmin really grew in confidence and quality of play as he got more time.....gelling with the front 3. I think that the coaching staff adjustment to insert Josh Hardin as the right back...and move Malik Henry to right winger was the key coaching move of the season. Josh Hardin was not a starter in any of the first 4 games. 11 minutes in game 1. 53 minutes in game 2. 39 minutes in game 3. Josh had red card against WMU...so no minutes against Cleveland State (as NYCZIP pointed out, Beto also missed that game). Cleveland State was the game where the back line gave up several soft goals. Josh Hardin started against VCU and that was an excellent game. For some reason against IU-Indy, Ashton Kamdem only played 40 minutes with Daragh Reilly playing 43 minutes. Ashton and Josh have been an excellent pair as outside backs. Malik has also shown that he can be an excellent defender when Josh needs a break. However, Malik has been an absolute handful for other teams to handle after he was moved to Right winger. To me, an underrated change during the season is that Wan Kuzri Wan Kamal also grew in confidence during the season....and did a much better job running forward into the box. Having WKWK in the box gave the zips more options and opened more space for Emil to do his magical goal scoring.
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I thought that it would be good ....to know which Georgetown players ...to watch out for You can see in the news release below that they had 3 Hoyas make the first team and they had 4 players selected to the 3rd team. Defender Tate Lampman was named freshman of the year and was selected to 3rd team all league. Defender Maximus Jennings was selected to the first team Midfielder Matthew Van Horn leads the Hoyas in points with 15 (6 goals and 3 assists) Van Horn was one of 3 Hoyas selected to the Big East First team Zach Zengue was their 3rd first team selection. The Big East news release shows him as a forward. Most of the Georgetown box scores list him as a midfielder Zengue was tied for 2nd in points with 11 (3 goals and 5 assists) Forward Mitchell Baker was not selected to any of the Big East teams. Baker is tied for 2nd in points with 11 (4 goals and 3 assists) I went back to the Akron vs. Georgetown box score on September 28th to see who took the majority of shots for Georgetown in that game. Most of us remember that Georgetown led Akron in shots in that game (Malik made his shot count 😎)....17-8 what I was amazed to see.....was that Georgetown had 14 different players take shots in that game. Mitchell Baker took 3 ...Zach Zengue took 2 and 12 different players had 1 shot apiece. I also looked at the Akron-Georgetown box score and compared it to their last regular season game against St. John's and their tournament game against Creighton ...to see if they had any players that started in September...but did not start in tournament game against Creighton. 3rd team Big East selection Joe Buck started and played 78 minutes against Akron. he started and played 74 minutes in last regular season game against St. Johns Joe Buck did not start against Creighton and he did not play at all. the Hoya news release says that Joe Buck started in all 17 games that he played 1st team Big East selection Matthew Van Horn is their leading points guy...but it appears that he does not ever play a full game for them Van Horn started and played 54 minutes against Akron. He started and played 55 minutes against St. John's Against Creighton, Van Horn did not start. Ended up playing about half the game...46 minutes their news release says that Van Horn started 13 out of their 18 games. Georgetown used 20 players when they lost 1-0 to Akron when Georgetown beat Creighton 1-0 , they used 19 players There is a lot of good info on their players in the Hoyas press release. The Info on Maximus Jennings really impressed me. The Georgetown team shutout their opponent in 11 out of their 18 games. Maximus Jennings First Team All-BIG EAST Jennings has started all 18 games he has appeared in and has one goal for two points on the season. On defense, the team captain is part of a backline that has posted 11 shutouts for a .611 shutout percentage which ranks the squad second in the nation and first in the BIG EAST Conference. Jennings was named the BIG EAST Defensive Player of the Week on both 9/3 and 10/14 and earned a nod to the BIG EAST Weekly Honor Roll on 10/7. This is his first-career postseason award on the Hilltop. He was a Preseason All-BIG EAST selection. https://guhoyas.com/news/2024/11/12/mens-soccer-lampman-honored-as-seven-hoyas-earn-postseason-awards.aspx
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@NYC ZIP ...so impressed by the stats that you mention in bold above.... I would have no clue....where to find great info....like that....... since I am retired, I did a brute force exercise (going to teams individual web sites !!!) this afternoon I could not find an NCAA site that showed current leaders in Points We all know that Emil is much more than just a scorer..... He is very unselfish and makes great passes Emil always knows where he is on the field ...and is known for making one touch passes to open teammates Emil has 22 goals and 7 assists...51 points Alex Harris from Cornell is #2 in goals....he has 16 goals and 5 assists....37 points Missouri State is currently #7 in RPI.... you will see below....that I will list points leaders for the top 8 RPI teams in the nation Jesus Barea of Missouri State is currently #3 in goals he has 15 goals and 3 assists...33 points You saw on the stat links that Owen Smith of Western Michigan leads the nation in assists with 15 assists Owen Smith has 4 goals....so he currently has 23 points WMU regular season is over NYCZIP shows above that players that make it to the college cup....are much more likely to win the Hermann Trophy Therefore, I decided to look at the top 8 teams currently in RPI I covered Missouri State (#7) and Jesus Barea...above Ohio State has had a tremendous year and they deserve to be ranked #1 Michael Adekokun gets credit for being their best player Adekokun has 8 goals and 11 assists ...27 points I would be very surprised if Michael Adekokun does not end up being one of the 3 finalists for the award. Adekokun and Emil are both great soccer players. Denver is currently #2 in RPI when top drawer soccer did their mid season top 100, they had Emil at #2 and Sam Bassett of Denver at #1 Bassett has 7 goals and 10 assists...24 points Pitt is currently #3 in RPI their regular season is over Luis Sahmkow is their points leader....with 21 (9 goals and 3 assists) Hofstra is currently #4 in RPI they have 2 players battling to be their points leader Laurie Goddard has 9 goals and 5 assists (23 points) Jacob Woznicki has 8 goals and 5 assists (21 points) Jacob Woznick seems to get a tremendous amount of respect nationally Penn is currently #5 in RPI Stas Korzeniowski is their points leader with 26 (12 goals and 2 assists) Virginia rocketed up to #6 in RPI after upsetting Pitt in the ACC tourney quarterfinals Virginia is a strange team....as their points leader only has 12 points Nick Dang 6 goals and no assists In the link that I posted, you probably noticed that Duke is the nation's leader in goals per game Duke is currently #8 in RPI Duke has an impressive 3 players with 20 points or more Ulfur Bjornsson, has 29 points (13 goals and 3 assists) Adam Luckhurts has 24 points (11 goals and 2 assists) Drew Kerr has 20 points (5 goals and 10 assists) when I have watched ACC soccer on the ACC network....the announcers rave the most about Drew Kerr Obviously, this brute force "Hermann Trophy" analysis...ignores great defenders and great goalkeepers speaking of defenders...when they name the 15 Hermann Trophy semifinalists in mid November, I know that I am biased...but I think that Beto Ydrach deserves to be considered for that elite group of 15 semifinalists.
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The top 15 semifinalists for the Hermann Trophy should be announced very soon Hermann Trophy Selection process Mid November – The semifinalists (top 15 men and top 15 women) are announced. The voting of Division I coaches begins. Mid December – Top three women’s finalists announced at NCAA Women’s College Cup; Top three men’s finalists announced at NCAA Men’s College Cup. Early January - The men’s and women’s winners are announced at press conference and honored at MAC Awards Banquet. Emil currently has 6 goals more than the nation's 2nd highest scorer https://www.ncaa.com/stats/soccer-men/d1
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Congratulations to Jared, Ger, Michael and Attila
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This is so well deserved for Beto. tremendous season
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https://www.bigeast.com/news/2024/11/12/big-east-announces-2024-mens-soccer-regular-season-awards.aspx
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I thought for sure...that you were going to mention...that we no longer had a narcissist as our Athletic Director.
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RPI update and Field of 48
TennZip replied to TennZip's topic in Akron Zips NCAA Championship Soccer
Ok.....you have read all that.... like me...you probably wonder where the cutoff point is.... let's find out together I am not a predictor.... for this purpose, I am going to say the highest RPI team(still playing) wins the conference tourney (yes, I know that means that I list Georgetown rather than Akron)...... but I need to be consistent I am going to use San Diego as winning their last game and getting bid....they have lower RPI than Oregon State but they should beat LMU 22 conference automatics 22. Metro Rider 85 21. OVC SIUE 76 20. Northeast Mercyhurst 111 19. Atlantic Sun Central Arkansas 137 18. Patriot Colgate 116 17. Big South High Point 39 16. WAC San Diego State 46 15. Horizon Oakland 101 14. Southern Furman 69 13. Big West Cal Santa Barbara 35 12. Ivy League Penn 5 11. West Coast San Diego 21 10. American Ath Charlotte 34 9. American East Vermont 28 8. Atlantic 10 Dayton 11 7. MVC Missouri St 7 6. Coastal Athl Hofstra 4 5. Big East Georgetown 10 4. Sun Belt Marshall 13 3. Summit Denver 2 2. Big Ten Ohio State 1 1. ACC Virginia 6 Ok.....I am wearing down....but let me try to list the 26 at large in ascending order please let me know if you spot any logic errors 1. Pitt #3 2. Duke #8 3. Stanford #9 4. SmU #12 5. Clemson #14 6. West Virginia #15..........WVU is the first non ACC team listed 7. Providence #16 8. North Carolina #17 9. Indiana #18 10. Cornell #19 11. Oregon State #20 12. UMass #22 13. Wake Forest #23 14. Maryland #24 15. Washington #25 16. Cal #26 17. Michigan #27 18. Fordham #29 19. Western Michigan #30 20. NC State #31 21. Akron #32 22. UCLA #33 23. UNC-Greensboro #36 24. Kansas City #37 25. George Mason #38 26. Drake #40 last 5 out Princeton #41 Wisconsin #42 New Hampshire #43 VA Tech #44 Northwestern #45 Princeton and New Hampshire would probably move up if they won in the semis and lost in the finals -
Under the Big East Update, someone asked if the Zips could still get a top 16 seed if they lose to Georgetown on Thursday. I thought it would be good ....to look at where the zips currently stand. The zips were 29 in RPI at the start of the day. Western Michigan losing in their conference quarterfinals to Evansville ...badly hurt the zips in RPI Cleveland State lost in their conference QF's to Green Bay. The zips are currently 32 in RPI. ...as of 11:45 pm on Sunday night Don't get me wrong.....Based on the last 11 games, the zips deserve to be a top 16 seed. Sadly, IU-Indy and Temple are dragging them down now. If the zips beat Georgetown and Providence to win the big east tourney, they definitely deserve to be a top 16 seed. But , it will be tough to jump from 32 into the top 16. Let's look at the non-league schedule of the zips ....and current records and current RPI I think that Ohio State and St. Francis are the only teams that are still playing in their conference tourneys Ohio State is 1 in current RPI....will play Michigan for conference tourney title Western Michigan is currently 30 Notre Dame is currently #47 and will not make the NCAA tourney When the Zips played VCU, VCU was #13 in the country VCU ended the year 4-6-7 and is currently #59 in RPI Cleveland State finished their year 7-7-3 and is currently #89 in RPI Temple ended their year 5-7-3 and currently #108 St. Francis is still playing ...they are 7-6-2 and are at #114 Wright State ended the year 7-9-2 and are #141 IU Indy finished with a record of 5-9-3 and are currently #156 The 48 team tournament field is comprised of 22 automatic conference bids and 26 at large bids. I used Gaucho Dan's conference RPI rank.......to look at the 22 automatic conference bids https://rpiupdatemenssoccer.blogspot.com/search/label/Conference RPI Rank he ranks the conferences 1 to 22 I will list the conferences from 22 to 1........ I think that there are 10 conferences that will almost certainly have only 1 bid Metro Atlantic is ranked 22 4 teams left in the semis Rider 85 ; Iona 99 ; Siena 139 Marist 158 Ohio Valley Conference is ranked 21 4 teams left in the semis SIUE 76 ; Lindenwood 128 ; HCU 164 ; UIW 174 Northeast is ranked 20 4 teams left in the semis...including a zips opponent Mercyhurst 111 ; St. Francis 114 ; LIU 130 ; Fairleigh Dickinson 138 Atlantic Sun is ranked 19 4 teams play in Semis Monday night Central Arkansas 137 ; N. FLA 152 ; Stetson 157 ; Fla Gulf Coast 185 Patriot League -is 18....4 teams left Colgate 116 ; Bucknell 123 ; American 125 ; Boston U 165 Big South is ranked 17 High Point at 39 will play Gardner Webb (66) for the conference title WAC is ranked 16 San Diego State 46 ; Seattle 58 ; San Jose State 166 ; Utah Tech 172 Horizon League is number 15 Oakland 101 ; Milwaukee 103 ; Green Bay 106 ; Robert Morris 122 Southern Conference is ranked number 14.....they are a long shot to get 2 teams into the tourney Furman is 69 in RPI and they will play ETSU (#105) for the league's automatic bid North Carolina Greensboro lost on PK's to Furman.......Greensboro is currently #36... I would think that they would drop during the week......and not get an at large bid Big West is ranked 13 #35 Cal Santa Barbara will play #65 UC Davis for league's automatic bid if Santa Barbara does not win, will they get an at large? Ivy League is ranked #12....they will definitely get 2 teams... if one of the 2 underdogs wins, they could get 3 teams in semis = #5 Penn vs. #77 Brown #19 Cornell vs. #41 Princeton West Coast Conference is ranked #11 they do not do a conference tournament...but 2 teams will likely get in San Diego is the favorite to win the league...they are 6-1-0 and play #124 Loyola Marymount in last regular season league game San Diego is currently #21 in RPI Oregon State is currently 5-1-1 ...they play #86 Portland in league game Oregon State is currently #20 in RPI American Athletic is ranked #10 semis - #34 Charlotte vs. #97 S. Florida #67 FIU vs. #98 Memphis Charlotte probably needs to win the tournament to get in American East is ranked #9 If Vermont does not win the league, will they get in semis - Vermont #28 vs. #84 UMBC #43 New Hampshire vs. #62 Bryant Atlantic 10 is ranked #8...they will get at least 2 teams in...possibly more semis - #11 Dayton vs. #29 Fordham #38 George Mason vs. #49 St. Louis UMass is currently #22 in RPI their season has ended as they lost on PKs to St. Louis in conference quarters Missouri Valley is ranked #7 If Missouri State does not win the tourney, that will really hurt teams on the bubble semis - #7 Missouri State vs. #82 Evansville #40 Drake vs. #60 Bowling Green Western Michigan is currently #30....their season ended 2-1 in double OT to Evansville Coastal Athletic is ranked #6 again, bubble teams...desperately want Hofstra to win Tourney final - #4 Hofstra vs. #73 UNCW Big East is ranked #5....bubble teams are rooting against St. John's semis - #16 Providence vs #71 St. Johns #10 Georgetown vs. # 32 Akron Sun Belt is #4....bubble teams want either Marshall or West Virginia to win the league semis - #13 Marshall vs #64 James Madison #15 West Virginia vs. #63 Kentucky Surprisingly, the Summit League is ranked #3 for conferences the final will be played on the 16th #2 Denver will play #37 Kansas City if Kansas City were to upset Denver, I would guess that they would move into the 20's for RPI Denver is obviously a lock for the NCAA The big Ten is #2 rated as a conference league final - #1 Ohio State vs #27 Michigan Indiana is currently #18...they lost to Michigan in conference QF Maryland is currently #24 in RPI.....they supposedly have a lot of players injured...they lost 6-0 to UCLA in conference quarters Washington is currently #25 in RPI...lost to Ohio State in league semis UCLA is definitely a bubble team...they are currently #33 in RPI....lost on PK's in semis to Michigan as you would expect, the ACC is ranked #1...... they probably expect to have 10 teams in the tournament lots of upsets in their conference tournament #9 conference seed Virginia and #11 seed California are in the semis semis - Virginia finishes 9th in league...they are currently #6 in RPI and will play #23 Wake Forest #14 Clemson will face #26 Cal in other semi Pitt is currently #3 in RPI...they won regular season but lost in quarters today to Virginia Duke is currently #8 in RPI...they were 3 seed in conference tourney...but lost in quarters today to California SMU is currently #12 in RPI...they lost on PK's today to Wake Forest North Carolina is #17...they lost in tourney round of 16 to California Stanford is currently #9 in RPI.....they lost in quarters to Clemson I don't think that NC State deserves to be in tourney...but their RPI is currently higher than Akron NC State is 31....they lost in round of 16 to Virginia I will post this now....will try to do a 2nd post ...before I call it a night
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Overtime also provides more time to accumulate yellow cards. Asst. coach Michael Nanchoff said this week that the zips had their 4 defensive back line starters playing with 4 yellows (on each player) in the last game against UConn. Playing overtime games might have caused some zips to accumulate 5 yellows and have to miss an entire game.
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Semifinals matchups RPI Ratings (as of 8 am Sunday nov. 10) #15 Providence vs. #69 St. Johns #9 Georgetown vs. #29 Akron