NoVa,Nobody on this board makes unfounded predictions. In fact, a prerequisite for making predictions on this board is submission of each participant’s statistical forecasting model to the board’s forecasting model oversight committee. Only after the committee has subjected a model to rigorous testing is one allowed to post their prediction. The highest rating awarded to NCST’s defense by any of the approved models is 27th in the nation (most models have them much lower). PSU’s defense, on the other hand, has an average rating of 14th. The difference is equal to over 100 yards in total offense and 10 points allowed. My prediction is Akron 27 NCST 21. Akron wins with last possession kept alive by two critical penalties against NCST: one on an NCST cornerback, and the other on the NCST bench. :blink: