Zipmeister Posted January 9, 2014 Report Share Posted January 9, 2014 A fairly soft 2014 conference schedule was released today. I can't recall who it was, but somebody on here pointed out a pattern he had observed for conference games. He even had a multi-colored chart to support his predictions for who would be on our schedule this coming season, and predicted a relatively soft schedule. I tried to locate the thread his post appeared in without success. OK, who are you and how well did your model work? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zipgrad01 Posted January 10, 2014 Report Share Posted January 10, 2014 A fairly soft 2014 conference schedule was released today. I can't recall who it was, but somebody on here pointed out a pattern he had observed for conference games. He even had a multi-colored chart to support his predictions for who would be on our schedule this coming season, and predicted a relatively soft schedule. I tried to locate the thread his post appeared in without success. OK, who are you and how well did your model work? I believe balsy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnnyzip84 Posted January 10, 2014 Report Share Posted January 10, 2014 GoZips.com story Home: Bowling Green - lose HC Clausen but keep a lot of talent. Eastern Michigan - should be a W Massachusetts - should be a W Miami (Ohio) - should be a W Away: Ball State - lose Wenning and Sneed, but keep HC Lembo....he must have a skeleton or two. Buffalo - lose 3 main players in Mack, Oliver and Neutz Can't State - should be a W Ohio. - no TT makes it a winnable game. Really there is no reason to not have a good chance at a bowl :gun: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckzip Posted January 10, 2014 Report Share Posted January 10, 2014 Undefeated baby. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZachTheZip Posted January 10, 2014 Report Share Posted January 10, 2014 First time since 2007 that we get to play every MAC East team. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balsy Posted January 10, 2014 Report Share Posted January 10, 2014 Yes I created it. My methodology was quite simple...look for patterns, and predict the schedule based upon patterns. 2012 prediction was 100% accurate, this year was 80%, because I got one wrong. We play four teams every year: Can't State, Ohio, Miami and UMass (which took the spot of Temple). Every year we played 5 East teams and 3 west teams. We never seemed to play BG or Buffalo more than two years in a row. West teams were more difficult to predict, but usually they seemed to alternate on a home-home every other year or so. EMU hadn't been on the schedule in two years, which meant to me that they were a likely opponent. NIU and Toledo had been on the schedule for two years (home-home) so they were not likely. The odd-ball out was Ball-St. This year appears to have thrown a wrench into my initial thoughts...but at least it was mostly accurate and hopefully it helps us predict future opponents a little easier. The wrench was that we play all MAC East opponents and only 2 West opponents. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staton14 Posted January 10, 2014 Report Share Posted January 10, 2014 Yes I created it. My methodology was quite simple...look for patterns, and predict the schedule based upon patterns. 2012 prediction was 100% accurate, this year was 80%, because I got one wrong. We play four teams every year: Can't State, Ohio, Miami and UMass (which took the spot of Temple). Every year we played 5 East teams and 3 west teams. We never seemed to play BG or Buffalo more than two years in a row. West teams were more difficult to predict, but usually they seemed to alternate on a home-home every other year or so. EMU hadn't been on the schedule in two years, which meant to me that they were a likely opponent. NIU and Toledo had been on the schedule for two years (home-home) so they were not likely. The odd-ball out was Ball-St. This year appears to have thrown a wrench into my initial thoughts...but at least it was mostly accurate and hopefully it helps us predict future opponents a little easier. The wrench was that we play all MAC East opponents and only 2 West opponents. Its a shame your prediction of WMU replacing BGSU wasn't right. Then the schedule would have been about as good as we could ask for. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zippy5 Posted January 10, 2014 Report Share Posted January 10, 2014 This proves Balsy is also in on the MAC 's anti-Akron scheduling strategy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skip-zip Posted January 10, 2014 Report Share Posted January 10, 2014 Its a shame your prediction of WMU replacing BGSU wasn't right. Then the schedule would have been about as good as we could ask for. Could you imagine?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave in Green Posted January 10, 2014 Report Share Posted January 10, 2014 @Balsy, could you please do a little research on the issues of the MAC not wanting UA to do well and MAC refs enforcing that with bad calls against the Zips? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K92 Posted January 10, 2014 Report Share Posted January 10, 2014 My advice: SAVE SOME VACATION Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LZIp Posted January 10, 2014 Report Share Posted January 10, 2014 CONSPIRACY!!!! Sorry...I had to. Cannot believe people actually believe(d) some of the stuff they were spewing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zipgrad01 Posted January 10, 2014 Report Share Posted January 10, 2014 My advice: SAVE SOME VACATION Unless we get the Toledo treatment. That schedule looks like a 7-5 season to me. Hopefully, we win the games we should and steal one or two and make that an 8 or a 9 win season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr Z Posted January 10, 2014 Report Share Posted January 10, 2014 Yes I created it. My methodology was quite simple...look for patterns, and predict the schedule based upon patterns. 2012 prediction was 100% accurate, this year was 80%, because I got one wrong.Impressive! Thanks for taking the time. You should do one (pattern) with the last 10 years of the Zips basketball ATS (if you can find the data). Make one category, when we are five point underdogs or more. I'm probably in the minority, but Miami, EMU, and UMass at home do not excite me. BG does! If it gets us to a bowl, great! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GP1 Posted January 10, 2014 Report Share Posted January 10, 2014 Really there is no reason to not have a good chance at a bowl :gun: I agree completely. There are four games there we should win for sure. Throw in a 1-AA victory and we are at five. Along the way, we should able to win two other games giving us at least 7. Who knows, maybe 8. Probably not the MAC though, but again, who knows. I'm sure there is a bowl game somewhere in the south (Hint: Alabama) that would love to have a Bowden coaching in it. I have a friend who has a place in Fairhope so my lodging is already taken care of. Our expectations next year should be to win. We've done enough "building" in the MAC and over the past 25 years. It's time to win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zippy5 Posted January 10, 2014 Report Share Posted January 10, 2014 I think we'll be favored against EMU, UMass and Miami at home. BG will be winnable. So there's at least 3 wins. On the road - Can't State, Buffalo should be Ws, with OU and BSU as winnable road games. I think there's at least 5 MAC wins there, as well as OOC plus pulling out maybe another win or two in MAC play. I like it. Last year we went through two steps of Bowden's lose big - lose small - win small - win big strategy. We went from losing small at the beginning of the year to winning small at the end of the year. If we can continue winning close ones, I see us winning big by the end of the year. Which brings me to the next point. All depends on when we play which team. As GP1 says, momentum means a lot. Hopefully we have BG and Ball St later in the year after we've racked up some easy Ws. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GP1 Posted January 10, 2014 Report Share Posted January 10, 2014 All depends on when we play which team. As GP1 says, momentum means a lot. It sure does. It would be nice to get some easy wins early. Easy wins not only build confidence and momentum, but they offer a team the opportunity to play a lot of players. Playing a lot of players gives experience to young guys and rest to the starters....both are critical for late season success...if a starter gets hurt, there is experience behind him. More importantly, players get hurt more often when they are tired. Rested players stay healthy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captain Kangaroo Posted January 10, 2014 Report Share Posted January 10, 2014 Hopefully we have BG and Ball St later in the year after we've racked up some easy Ws. In Bowden's master plan "win by a little, then win by a lot." We began winning by a little at mid-season. It would be nice to take care of the lower-echelon MAC programs comfortably, No more nip-and-tuck games vs. UMass...and whip K.e.n.t. by a lot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zipmeister Posted January 10, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 10, 2014 Yes I created it. My methodology was quite simple...look for patterns, and predict the schedule based upon patterns. 2012 prediction was 100% accurate, this year was 80%, because I got one wrong. We play four teams every year: Can't State, Ohio, Miami and UMass (which took the spot of Temple). Every year we played 5 East teams and 3 west teams. We never seemed to play BG or Buffalo more than two years in a row. West teams were more difficult to predict, but usually they seemed to alternate on a home-home every other year or so. EMU hadn't been on the schedule in two years, which meant to me that they were a likely opponent. NIU and Toledo had been on the schedule for two years (home-home) so they were not likely. The odd-ball out was Ball-St. This year appears to have thrown a wrench into my initial thoughts...but at least it was mostly accurate and hopefully it helps us predict future opponents a little easier. The wrench was that we play all MAC East opponents and only 2 West opponents. Still, nice work on your part. I believe if you looked for patterns in the rest of the MAC teams scheduling in would improve the accuracy of your predictions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balsy Posted January 10, 2014 Report Share Posted January 10, 2014 Still, nice work on your part. I believe if you looked for patterns in the rest of the MAC teams scheduling in would improve the accuracy of your predictions. That's a very good point. When I have free time I'll experiment with that idea. Thanks Zipmeister Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lance99 Posted January 10, 2014 Report Share Posted January 10, 2014 GoZips.com story Home: Bowling Green - lose HC Clausen but keep a lot of talent. Eastern Michigan - should be a W Massachusetts - should be a W Miami (Ohio) - should be a W Away: Ball State - lose Wenning and Sneed, but keep HC Lembo....he must have a skeleton or two. Buffalo - lose 3 main players in Mack, Oliver and Neutz Can't State - should be a W Ohio. - no TT makes it a winnable game. Really there is no reason to not have a good chance at a bowl :gun: I was so hoping to see two of the Directionals this year Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balsy Posted January 10, 2014 Report Share Posted January 10, 2014 Impressive! Thanks for taking the time. You should do one (pattern) with the last 10 years of the Zips basketball ATS (if you can find the data). Make one category, when we are five point underdogs or more. I'm probably in the minority, but Miami, EMU, and UMass at home do not excite me. BG does! If it gets us to a bowl, great! I'll see what I can do with that. It'll be when I have free time...perhaps we can get another Polar Vortex to give me the time? As for the excitement...going from a recently graduated student's perspective...I think it's more exciting to have home wins (or easy home wins) this year than bringing in the good competition. Our first game is against Howard, which largest student attendance is that first game. If we were to win it, go on the road for two weeks and pull off a win against either Pitt or Penn St, students will continue coming. Keep winning, students will keep coming. I've been saying it for awhile, but the key to filling Infocision is getting the students out. Both now, and in the future. Build a culture of winning with the new students, a certain percentage of them will return as alums. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lance99 Posted January 11, 2014 Report Share Posted January 11, 2014 I'll see what I can do with that. It'll be when I have free time...perhaps we can get another Polar Vortex to give me the time? As for the excitement...going from a recently graduated student's perspective...I think it's more exciting to have home wins (or easy home wins) this year than bringing in the good competition. Our first game is against Howard, which largest student attendance is that first game. If we were to win it, go on the road for two weeks and pull off a win against either Pitt or Penn St, students will continue coming. Keep winning, students will keep coming. I've been saying it for awhile, but the key to filling Infocision is getting the students out. Both now, and in the future. Build a culture of winning with the new students, a certain percentage of them will return as alums. Penn St. And Pitt are both very winnable, IMHO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GP1 Posted January 11, 2014 Report Share Posted January 11, 2014 Penn St. And Pitt are both very winnable, IMHO. 10 years ago, this would have been a crazy comment, but PSU is the more winnable game. Pitt has a really good young team and a very good coach. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balsy Posted January 11, 2014 Report Share Posted January 11, 2014 Penn St. And Pitt are both very winnable, IMHO. I completely agree. I believe it is entirely possible that we could go 4-0 (I can't believe I'm actually saying that). But a home win against Howard to start it off. However I guess I'm being cautious...My expectation is to split the OCC schedule 2-2, with the losses being 4th quarter battles. Anything better than that is good...anything less than that makes me question if we really have taken a step up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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