Let'sGoZips94

I'd rather CMU and EMU go ahead of WMU, but I will gladly go the efficiency route and vote to exile all Directional Michigans. Banish them all to the Horizon League.

Was looking at EvanMiya today and found it interesting that Akron has the top 3 rated BPR players in the MAC. Akron is also the 56th rated team according to their metrics, with Miami OH being 70th.

The seniors are going to be overshadowed by the celebration of this being our last ever conference game vs. NIU!

And take advantage of it. No letdowns next week.

Saving people a click into the cesspool that is Reddit... Somebody on the Miami message board paid for the sub and this is the list they gave: No available responses: Pittsburgh Wisconsin Marquette USC Sacred Heart Oregon Ohio State Mississippi State Florida Response(s) but no agreement: Michigan State UCLA Boise State Grand Canyon Kansas (“We’ll need to look at next year”) BYU Utah Illinois (“I need to get two high NET games 300+ before I would think about playing you.”) Virginia Tech Nebraska Not sure this helps Miami OH's case at all. I certainly hope it helps expose how stupid CBB scheduling is, but Miami OH's schedule is their own fault. We don't know what Miami OH wanted for terms - buy game, home & home, etc. - and after they failed with these schools, they turned around and scheduled 3 non DI teams and Wright State as their toughest controllable OOC opponent.

Buffalo has to lose for CMU to make it.

Bruce Pearl name drops Akron. I had a Miami OH honk on X get his sweater in a tizzy because he set up a GoFundMe to cover Steele's fine and I said it was an absurd thing to do. Very early in the exchange, he said that Akron wishes they were getting half the publicity that Miami OH's getting. I told him that almost every single conversation regarding Miami OH typically involves someone mentioning that Akron is probably the best team in the MAC, so thanks for the free publicity lol.

Yes but all roads lead to Miami OH. Have you seen their strength of schedule? (I'm kidding, I'm kidding. No sweaters talk here. Had to give you some crap, though.)

More fraudulent than Bishop Sycamore.

That's the most obvious trend from all this data. 😂

Let's say they are shooting 8 FT in the final minute for each of those games. That's 32, which would still leave them at +75. In addition, they've only had one road game with a greater than 10 margin of victory. Why is their road advantage only +2 despite 7 games being 10 pts or less for margin of victory if that's the explanation?

Miami OH has had 4 home games decided by single digits. They are +107 FTA at home in the MAC. Not sure how many FTA you think they are getting in the final minute, but it's not enough to make that number look any less absurd.

Miami OH has 2.5 less 3PA per game. Akron averages 5 more FGA per game than Miami OH, meaning a similar percentage of our offense vs. M-OH's is 2PA. M-OH is averaging 5.4 more FTA per game on the season than Akron. According to another Zips fan in a group chat I'm in, Akron's 2P Rate in MAC play is 2nd best in the conference, yet look at the in conference FTA discrepancy. Not sure where you're getting off on there being some obvious explanation for the gross FTA discrepancies.

For comparison, here are Akron's numbers... EMU: 26 Akron: 14 Akron Margin of Victory: 21 CMU: 27 Akron: 9 Akron Margin of Victory: 13 Balls: 19 Akron: 16 Akron Margin of Victory: 10 WMU: 14 Akron: 9 Akron Margin of Victory: 15 Toledo: 13 Akron: 14 Akron Margin of Victory: 10 Kent: 21 Akron: 12 Akron Margin of Victory: 17 UMass: 17 Akron: 43 Akron Margin of Victory: 7 Buffalo: 33 Akron: 29 Akron Margin of Victory: 14 Total Home FTA Advantage: -24 Average Home FTA Advantage: -3 * Without UMass it's -50 Total and -7.14 Average Akron: 10 M-OH: 30 Akron Margin of Victory: -3 (L) Akron: 18 BG: 14 Akron Margin of Victory: 10 Akron: 19 Buffalo: 13 Akron Margin of Victory: 19 Akron: 26 Ohio: 27 Akron Margin of Victory: 21 Akron: 13 EMU: 16 Akron Margin of Victory: 2 Akron: 16 WMU: 13 Akron Margin of Victory: 17 Akron: 15 Balls: 9 Akron Margin of Victory: 13 Akron: 18 Kent: 11 Akron Margin of Victory: 22 Akron: 11 CMU: 6 Akron Margin of Victory: 13 Total Road FTA Advantage: +7 Average Road FTA Advantage: +.78 Total MAC FTA Advantage: -17 Average MAC FTA Advantage: -1

Was curious after seeing the Miami OH/Toledo game last night. Here are the Free Throw Attempts for all of Miami OH's MAC home games... Akron: 10 M-OH: 30 M-OH Margin of Victory: 3 WMU: 22 M-OH: 34 M-OH Margin of Victory: 11 CMU: 12 M-OH: 28 M-OH Margin of Victory: 39 Buffalo: 23 M-OH: 26 M-OH Margin of Victory: 3 (OT) UMass: 17 M-OH: 38 M-OH Margin of Victory: 2 NIU: 17 M-OH: 20 M-OH Margin of Victory: 24 Ohio: 20 M-OH: 28 M-OH Margin of Victory: 16 BG: 15 M-OH: 27 M-OH Margin of Victory: 14 Toledo: 2 M-OH: 14 M-OH Margin of Victory: 2 Total Home FTA Advantage: +107 Average Home FTA Advantage: +11.88 * Zero MAC home games with less FTA than opponent Here are their MAC road games... M-OH: 22 Balls: 18 M-OH Margin of Victory: 9 M-OH: 24 BG: 23 M-OH Margin of Victory: 10 M-OH: 8 Toledo: 20 M-OH Margin of Victory: 14 M-OH: 34 Kent: 31 M-OH Margin of Victory: 6 (OT) M-OH: 6 Buffalo: 18 M-OH Margin of Victory: 2 M-OH: 33 UMass: 16 M-OH Margin of Victory: 9 M-OH: 19 EMU: 23 M-OH Margin of Victory: 10 M-OH: 25 WMU: 20 M-OH Margin of Victory: 2 Total Road FTA Advantage: +2 Average Road FTA Advantage: +.25 Total MAC FTA Advantage: +109 Average MAC FTA Advantage: +6.41

I would remove the "likely win" part. They certainly can win, but in the only matchup this year, Akron played their C game, Miami OH played their B game. Miami OH won by 3, at home, with a 20 FTA difference. In last year's title game, Miami OH played their A+ game and Akron played their B game; Akron won by 2. Miami OH needs to be 2 letter grades above Akron in the game for any real comfort IMO.

Adam is the "voice of CMU".

If the MAC is going to go as far as giving Miami OH every advantage this year (officiating, schedule, etc.), they might as well cancel the first 2 rounds of the tourney and just put these two teams in the title game to protect their interests.

I understand, and I'm saying they would still be in. The committee can't set that precedent. To me, Miami OH is exactly who the Dayton games should be for. If you're going to money grab, use those games as a "prove it" round for teams that otherwise haven't had the opportunity to do so.

Miami OH dropped confetti for winning their first regular season title in over 20 years. As hilarious as it would be to have that spoiled as a split, I'd prefer not to celebrate shared titles. Act like we've been there before and just get to Cleveland where it matters.

Toledo shot 2 free throws in their game vs Miami OH. The Redhawks shot 14.

My assumption is yes given it's a concussion (correct?). They can be finicky but 2 weeks is normally enough time.

Buffalo with Freitag is different. Be careful what you wish for there, although all 3 of BG/UMass/Buffalo would be some of the most difficult 1st round matchups any team has had in years.

Regardless of strength of schedule, no team that goes undefeated in the regular season can miss March Madness. It would set a horrendous precedent. However, rewarding a weak schedule is equally disturbing, so the happy medium is to send them to Dayton as a "prove yourself" deal vs the middling P6s. A close loss to Akron and they may escape Dayton as a legitimate at large. However, a double digit loss, and their fans can quickly start buying tickets for Dayton. I also believe they may not make it to Saturday but we will see.