I can't help thinking that Zips Nation somehow is overrating the boys from Athens. Are we getting soft on our rivals? Even from my comfort zone 5000 miles away I can see Ohio as a sub-par/sub .500 team that might have high expectations for the future but has not come close to realizing that yet. Central -- along certainly with Toledo -- was very disappointing this year, but I think they have more to prove and will give those kitties all they can handle. If I had to place a line (haven't seen an actual one), I'd guess Ohio might be a two or three point fave, but I might lean toward the Chipps given the circumstances.
Also, while Northern Iowa lost in the first round of the Missouri Valley, they were a near lock going in and should be still a 10 or 11 seed. Joe Lunardi has them in a play-in game in Dayton. They have victories over Colorado and South Carolina and their only OOC loss was to West Virginia by 5. The Drake loss probably cost them a 9 or 10 seed. Their NET ranking WAS in the 30s. So, they'll sweat out the Conference tournaments and hope there aren't many upsets...
EDIT: Oopsy daisy on my part! I somehow forgot the first round is at home courts -- in this case the Convo. That said, I still would only see OU as a 6 pt or so favorite. CMU and Toledo are schools capable of winning on the road. Both are top 5 teams on paper only -- disappointing seasons!