Gemini agrees on the low scoring part but JoeMo hasn't been good against Power 4 'high' point spreads...
Betting Trends
Against the Spread (ATS) History: Under head coach Joe Moorhead, Akron is 0–9 ATS as an underdog of 23+ points against Power 4 programs. Conversely, Wake Forest has proven strong as a heavy favorite, going 14–6 ATS when favored by double digits since 2019.
The "Under" Trend: The Under is 4–0 in Akron’s last four games as a road underdog. Additionally, when Akron faces massive point spreads (20+ point underdogs), their games lean heavily toward low scoring—they averaged just 6.0 points per game in those matchups over the last two seasons.
Line Movement: Wake Forest opened as a 22.5 to 23.5-point favorite and was pushed up to -24.5 as money poured in on the Demon Deacons. The total ticked down slightly from an opening 49.5 down to 48.5.
Predictions & Expert Consensus
Score Prediction: Wake Forest 42, Akron 13 (or a similar ~28–31 point margin victory for Wake Forest).
Best Bet / Best Value: Under 48.5 Points. Analysts point to Wake Forest returning 9 starters on defense, likely controlling the line of scrimmage against an Akron offense that suffered heavy transfer portal losses. Blowout non-conference games like this often feature a running clock in the second half, limiting overall scoring output.
Spread Pick: Wake Forest -24.5. With Wake Forest expected to dominate the trenches, oddsmakers project a ~55% chance they cover the 24.5-point margin.