Screw it...I'm going to do it tonight. AAC: East Carolina has Cinci next week. After Cinci got their doors blown off against USF, this game is pretty much 50/50. Tulsa. Will lose to Navy tonight, have Tulane next week. Probability high of beating them and becoming bowl eligible. ACC: Virginia Tech. They have Virginia next week. Probably a more likely than not chance that VT becomes bowl eligible.' Big 12: Texas. Has TTU and Baylor left. Highly unlikely they win out to become bowl eligible. KState: Has Kansas and WVU left. Shouldn't lose to Kansas, but I don't see them getting by WVU. B1G; Indiana- has Purdue. Should be a win there. Nebraska- Iowa. L. Illinois. Northwestern. L. Minnesota. Wisconsing..most likely L. CUSA: Old Dominion - should become bowl eligible with a win over FAU MAC: Buffalo. Has UMASS next week. Should win, but I'd assume we would get picked over them? Mountain West: San Jose State- games vs Hawaii and Boise. Need to win out. I dont see them beating Boise. Pac 12: Washington. Have Wash St next week and should be underdogs in it. Could go either way IMO. SEC: Vandy. has A&M and Tennessee left. Need to win out and its not happening. kentucky- Charlotte right now. Will win. Have Louisville next week. ABout 50/50. Missouri - needs to lose out vs Tenn and Arkansas. Probably most likely. Sun Belt: Georgia State: Has to win out vs Troy and GA Southern. Not going to happen. South Alabama. Needs to go 1-1 vs GA Soutern and App State. Most likely not going to happen. ULL: Needs to win out vs App State and Troy. Most likely not going to happen. So there are 19 teams fighting for 11 spots if my math is correct. To summarize my opinion.. Most likely will qualify: 5 Maybe will qualify: 4 Most likely wont qualify: 10 As of right now, its still looking like are chances are pretty good no matter what... EDIT: Updated to eliminate Rice who is going to lose to UTSA. They were what realistically, should have been a "most likely will qualify".