I think you can remove all of the directionals and Ball State from any chance of being there at the end. Right now, OU and Toledo are at the top of the MAC, with PCCC, Akron, Buffalo a little behind, and BG and Miami not that far back. Any of those seven could beat the other on any given night and it wouldn't be an upset. I think Buffalo will eventually come around and be a factor in the standings, seedings and tournament. If I had to seed them today:
1. OU
2. Toledo
3. PCCC
4. Akron
5. Canada
6. BG
7. Miami
8. Ball State
9. EMU
10. NIU
11. WMU
12. CMU