Game 22- PCCC

[tolbob]

11 hours ago, Let'sGoZips94 said:

Kent is 5th in Luck per KenPom - time to end their luck. 

 

I wish someone would explain how KenPom calculates LUCK.

[csims0917]

They moved up to 3rd overnight lmao

[clarkwgriswold]

I suspect Evan will have the primary task of defending Gillespie tonight.  He'll be a little outsized but he's up to the task as he's one of the Zips best defenders.  If Whatley is out, Amani's free to take some of that on.

[clarkwgriswold]

1 hour ago, tolbob said:

I wish someone would explain how KenPom calculates LUCK.

From KenPom-

 

"Luck, which is the deviation in winning percentage between a team’s actual record and their expected record using the correlated gaussian method. The luck factor has nothing to do with the rating calculation, but a team that is very lucky (positive numbers) will tend to be rated lower by my system than their record would suggest."

[HoopsFan03]

Today is the day. The only day of the year that my 12 year old is allowed to say the f word. 

F Kent St. 

[pdt1420]

11 hours ago, Blue & Gold said:

 

Both these guys are fantastic. Evan is the prototype for me as a representative of Akron Basketball (and we’ve had alot of good ones). Smart, charismatic, funny, spiritual, family/teammate oriented… and the dude loves country music and Major League?! Come on. Especially right before the Kent game and their decades-long history of thugs and idiots. 
 

And I don’t know who the interviewer is, but I’ve watched a couple of his across multiple sports and he’s GREAT. Well prepared but not stiff, asks great follow-ups, and puts the athletes at ease. 
 

Great content… keep it up UA. 

[UAZipster0305]

16 minutes ago, HoopsFan03 said:

Today is the day. The only day of the year that my 12 year old is allowed to say the f word. 

F Kent St. 

Aren't there at least three days per year for that (one for football and at least two for basketball)?

[clarkwgriswold]

Just now, pdt1420 said:

Both these guys are fantastic. Evan is the prototype for me as a representative of Akron Basketball (and we’ve had alot of good ones). Smart, charismatic, funny, spiritual, family/teammate oriented… and the dude loves country music and Major League?! Come on. Especially right before the Kent game and their decades-long history of thugs and idiots. 
 

And I don’t know who the interviewer is, but I’ve watched a couple of his across multiple sports and he’s GREAT. Well prepared but not stiff, asks great follow-ups, and puts the athletes at ease. 
 

Great content… keep it up UA. 

 

I had the pleasure of speaking with Evan and Eric at the tip-off reception and could not have been more impressed.  They are both personable, mature and friendly.  

[kreed5120]

14 minutes ago, UAZipster0305 said:

Aren't there at least three days per year for that (one for football and at least two for basketball)?

 

Personally, I think any day is allowable to say F Kent 

[Reslife4Life]

1 hour ago, clarkwgriswold said:

From KenPom-

 

"Luck, which is the deviation in winning percentage between a team’s actual record and their expected record using the correlated gaussian method. The luck factor has nothing to do with the rating calculation, but a team that is very lucky (positive numbers) will tend to be rated lower by my system than their record would suggest."

I mean duh, obviously you have to account for the correlated gaussian method! Basically first grade level mathematics

[kreed5120]

5 minutes ago, Reslife4Life said:

I mean duh, obviously you have to account for the correlated gaussian method! Basically first grade level mathematics

I mean they call it advanced analytics for a reason.

[Zips1991]

12 hours ago, NWAkron said:

Ugh.  Zips and Red Hawks now tie for the longest home win-streaks.

Akron, Miami, and Duke all tied at 27 for the longest home win streak now, after St Thomas lost last night.

[Let'sGoZips94]

3 hours ago, tolbob said:

I wish someone would explain how KenPom calculates LUCK.

2 hours ago, clarkwgriswold said:

From KenPom-

 

"Luck, which is the deviation in winning percentage between a team’s actual record and their expected record using the correlated gaussian method. The luck factor has nothing to do with the rating calculation, but a team that is very lucky (positive numbers) will tend to be rated lower by my system than their record would suggest."

 

The explanation cracks me up because it makes Miami & Kent look so much worse. Basically, Miami was expected to lose way more often than they have, despite having one of the weakest schedules in the country. Kent has been expected to lose more often despite already having 5 losses, 2 of which were to Portland (224 NET) and CMU (313 NET). 

 

When watching the games that I have of both teams, the high luck factor is very valid. I've mentioned it before with Kent specifically, but they prey on their opponent giving them games more than they actually win games themselves. Poor decision-making, poor shot making, opponents having injuries, etc. have contributed heavily to their 16 wins. 

 

Akron by a million tonight. Go Zips! 

 

IT'S 11:07AM AND...