Here is what I tried to do. Not sure if it accurate as I tried to do it quickly.
1. Can't
2. Western if they win or ball state loses; Ball State with a win and Western loss
3. Miami
4. Western if Ball State wins and Western loss; Ball State with a Ball State win and Western win; Ohio if Ball State loses (3 way tiebreaker over Akron and Ball State);
5. Akron if Ball State loses (3 way tiebreaker with Ohio and Ball State); Ohio if Ball State wins
6. Ball State if they lose (3 way tie, Ball 0-2, Akron 1-2, Ohio 3-0 vs. each other); Akron if Ball State wins
7. Buffalo if Central loses, BG if Central wins
8. BG if Central loses, Central if they win (3 way tie, Central 1-1, BG 2-1, Buffalo 1-2 vs. each other)
9. Central if they lose, Buffalo if Central wins (3 way tie, Central 1-1, BG 2-1, Buffalo 1-2 vs. each other)
10. Northern
11. Eastern
12. Toledo